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2022 Flight Stakes Runner By Runner Preview, Odds & Tips

Held over the Randwick mile (1600m), the Group 1 Flight Stakes is a three year old fillies race, run during the Sydney Spring Racing Carnival. The $750k feature is named in honour of champion mare, Flight, who won 24 races including two Cox Plates, and the race has been taken out by some terrific fillies in their own right. Never Been Kissed was victorious in last year’s edition and was sent around at cricket score odds.

Looking at the odds with Dabble, Golden Slipper winner, Fireburn, has come up favourite at $2.40 for this year’s race. In form filly, Zougotcha, is a $3.30 chance and G1 Randwick mile winner, She’s Extreme, is also well in the market at $6.50. Wolverine is next best at $8.50 and rounds out the main hopes according to the market.

However, we know with horse racing that anything can happen and last year’s rough result was a prime example. So, we have dissected each of the horses’ chances for you and provided our horse racing tips! Read on below to find our runner by runner preview of the 2022 Flight Stakes along with The Shark’s best tips. 

1. Fireburn (9) – $2.40F
Jockey – Brenton Avdulla 56kg
Trainer – Gary Portelli

Made good late headway in the Run To The Rose first up before again finishing hard last Saturday in the Golden Rose from an outside gate. Gets back to her own sex here and will relish the mile. Clearly the one to beat.

2. She’s Extreme (5) – $6.50
Jockey – Tommy Berry 56kg
Trainer – Anthony Cummings

Had a nice run behind the leaders in last week’s Golden Rose and was just fair late. She’s a G1 winner here at the Randwick mile and should be peaking third up. Looks like one of the main dangers.

3. Zougotcha (2) – $3.30
Jockey – James McDonald 56kg
Trainer – Chris Waller

Rode the speed and was too good first up defeating In Secret. Fought hard last start in the Tea Rose to keep her unbeaten record intact this prep. Will get a soft run from the gate and will look the winner at some stage in the straight.

4. North Star Lass (8) – $13
Jockey – Tim Clark 56kg
Trainer – Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott

Front running filly who is racing well this prep. Had some excuses last start after getting galloped on and should get a good run up front here. The mile is the query but she should be rock hard fit and gets the country’s best front running jockey on board.

5. Wolverine (1) – $8.50
Jockey – Jason Collett 56kg
Trainer – Kris Lees

Former kiwi filly who has hit the line strong in both runs back this prep, suggesting the 1600m here will be right up her alley. Will get a soft run from the inside gate and will be right in the mix providing she gets some luck in the straight.

6. Madame Pommery (6) – $14
Jockey – Hugh Bowman 56kg
Trainer – Chris Waller

Loomed up and looked the winner last start in the Tea Rose, only to be outgunned by her stablemate in the final stages. Step up in trip looks no issue and she should be in the mix again here.

7. Pavitra (4) – $51
Jockey – Kerrin McEvoy 56kg
Trainer – Richard & Will Freedman

Led and bolted in an 1860m Newcastle maiden before another solid win last start over 1500m at the provincials. Will roll forward with the shades on here and might give some cheek at big odds.

8. Renaissance Woman (3) – $81
Jockey – Rachel King 56kg
Trainer – Bjorn Baker

Scone maiden winner who did a good job to finish midfield in the Tea Rose last start. Bred to relish the added journey and although it’s hard to have her in the numbers, she isn’t hopeless.

9. Byron Belle (10) – $126
Jockey – William Pike 56kg
Trainer – John Sargent

Made some late ground up the fence in the Tea Rose. Should only improve up in trip but needs to find a few lengths to be winning one would think.

10. Whisker To Whisker (7) – $126
Jockey – Chad Schofield 56kg
Trainer – John Thompson

Found the line well last start in Kembla maiden, but this is much stronger. Dam was runner up the VRC and ATC Oaks suggesting she will be better over the mile here, but may still want further.

Final Word

Some of the best 3YO fillies line up here in Saturday’s G1 Flight Stakes. As well publicised, there is rain forecast and the Randwick track will most likely be in the heavy range. 

There looks to be even tempo in the race, with Pravitra and North Star Lass the most likely leaders. Expect Zougotcha and She’s Extreme to use their good gates to full advantage and also race handy.

Hard to go past favourite, Fireburn, as the on top selection. Her closing sectionals in both the Run To The Rose and the Golden Rose were strong, she looks ready for the mile third up and the wet ground is a bonus. She’s been well found in the market and punters won’t be retiring if she wins, but she looks the obvious.

Expect She’s Extreme to be ridden forward and be strong at the mile. She’s already a G1 winner at this track and trip and hasn’t been far away in two runs this prep.

Zougotcha comes through different form lines to the favourite, Fireburn, but is racing in great form. She maps well from the low draw and handles all conditions. No surprise to see her make it three in a row. Stablemate, Madame Pommery, and the Kris Lees trained, Wolverine, will be closing strongly and have to be respected on what they produced last start.

Flight Stakes TipLogo

1. Fireburn – Win ($2.40)

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*Odds correct at time of writing, courtesy of Dabble.

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2021 Flight Stakes Runner By Runner Preview, Odds & Tips

The 1600m G1 Flight Stakes is set to take place at Randwick this Saturday and has 16 three-year-old fillies facing the starter. This gives these fillies a chance to get another run under their belt before potentially heading to Melbourne for the Thousand Guineas, to be held 10 days later, or another step up in distance on their way to the VRC Oaks, during Cup Week. 

Just one filly comes out of last week’s quickly run Golden Rose and she is on top of the markets. Sportsbet has Startantes as the $4 favourite, as of Friday morning, but she has plenty of competition with four other horses priced at $10 or less.

Given the lack of class and high rating performances out of the three-year-old fillies so far this season, this is expected to be a wide open race with plenty of chances. We have worked through the form to come up with our best tips, so read on below to find out who they are, as well as our runner by runner preview of the 2021 Flight Stakes

1. Four Moves Ahead (13) – $4.60
Jockey – Nash Rawiller
Trainer – John Sargent

Four Moves Ahead was an impressive winner in the Tea Rose Stakes and Nash Rawiller expects that she can improve again on that effort. The worry is barrier 13, but she jumped from nine of 12 in the Tea Rose and her impressive early speed allowed her to push forward and settle in a nice spot, which she can do again in this. This is her first time over 1600m but the way she ran through the line over 1400m in the Tea Rose suggests she will love this.

2. Mallory (5) – $5
Jockey – Hugh Bowman
Trainer – Gerald Ryan & Sterling Alexiou

Arguably should have won the Tea Rose. Mallory had a nice spot in the running, being one back on the fence, but had to deal with a slowing Rocklily for the first half of the straight and then didn’t quite have the same finish as the winner because of that. She has been impressive without winning in her last two races and seems primed for the jump up to 1600m. She gets Hugh Bowman on board and barrier five gives her every chance to succeed.

3. Swift Witness (8) – $9.50
Jockey – Tim Clark
Trainer – Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott

Swift Witness gives herself every chance by being up on the speed and we saw what Tim Clark was able to do on a Waterhouse & Bott on pacer in the Golden Rose last week. She was half a length off Four Moves Ahead in the Tea Rose and gets a better barrier for this race. The query is given the others shot past her in the straight if she will be able to match it up in distance.

4. She’s All Class (10) – $10
Jockey – James McDonald
Trainer – Chris Waller

She’s All Class jumped as favourite in the Tea Rose but McDonald decided to take her to last, nearly 10 lengths of the leaders. Given the way the track was playing on the day she had no chance of catching them but was still 4.13L back in eighth. She has a worse barrier in this race but surely J-Mac shows more early intent and gets her in the race?

5. Startantes (6) – $4
Jockey – Sam Clipperton
Trainer – Robert Heathcote

The late-entry favourite that is the only filly to come out of last week’s Golden Rose. Startantes ran a 98 rating last week, which is the second best rating by a three-year-old filly this season, putting her in a good position for the rise up in distance. Her run from the back of the field to finish sixth against the boys was impressive and the only thing that could undo her here is the quick backup from a brutally run race.

6. Latino Blend (7) – $35
Jockey – Kerrin McEvoy
Trainer – Peter & Paul Snowden

There is definitely plenty of improvement with Latino Blend for this race, given she had a month off from racing before going into the Tea Rose. She had a solid finish to be just 3.2L off the winner and will improve in fitness from that run, meaning the 1600m should be no issue. She is over the odds but does she have the class to win this?

7. Hinged (4) – $26
Jockey – Glen Boss
Trainer – Chris Waller

Hinged brings some unique Queensland form into this race and it is tough to judge how it will stack up. Waller is obviously a class trainer and knows what he is doing, but she finished 5.4L 11th in the Dulcify and then the top three in that race couldn’t fire in the Golden Rose last week.

8. Von Trapp (14) – $14
Jockey – Joshua Parr
Trainer – Mark Newnham

While she was two lengths off the leading three in the Tea Rose, Von Trapp finished fourth in that race and looks a big improver up to 1600m. She was the only filly to run under 12 seconds for the final 200m and is bred to relish the distance, being a daughter of Frankel. The wide draw doesn’t help but given she settled back in the Tea Rose, she has shown she has the ability to burst to the line when given clean air. 

9. Chill (1) – $81
Jockey – Alysha Collett
Trainer – Anthony Cummings

Was on Four Moves Ahead’s back entering the straight and had her chance to keep up but just couldn’t. Would need to improve massively in order to compete here.

10. Yearning – SCRATCHED
Jockey – N/A
Trainer – Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes

11. Lovemetender (11) – $151
Jockey – Robbie Dolan
Trainer – Anthony Cummings

On the quick backup after a 2L 9th in last week’s Midway Handicap at Rosehill. Isn’t the right formline, there are questions over whether she will be able to perform at a high level after that run and the wide draw also doesn’t help. 

12. Fangirl (12) – SCRATCHED
Jockey – Jeff Penza
Trainer – Chris Waller

13. Never Been Kissed (3) – $41
Jockey – Regan Bayliss
Trainer – Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott

Had good form heading into the Tea Rose but was found out a bit by some better fillies. Given she didn’t look like anything in that race it is hard to see her featuring here.

14. Stray (2) – $23
Jockey – Glyn Schofield
Trainer – Anthony Cummings

Looks to be progressing up to an Oaks and may not have the speed to match it with some other fillies that are looking at their peak distances and potential Grand Finals. 

15. Galactic Angel (15) – $126
Jockey – Brock Ryan
Trainer – Anthony Cummings

Is yet to win a race and today won’t be the day she breaks her maiden.

16. Left Reeling (9) – $71
Jockey – Jason Collett
Trainer – John Sargent

While Yearning has been scratched from this race, she wasn’t fancied to win that race and beat home Left Reeling last start. That doesn’t bode well for her chances here.

Final Word

Since the Tea Rose Stakes was first run in 1980, only six winners of the Flight Stakes haven’t contested that race. That gives us a clear indication of where we should be looking for our Flight Stakes tip and it is hard to look past the winner of the Tea Rose, Four Moves Ahead. 

She ran through the line strongly while both her jockey and camp said she came through the race perfectly and would relish the rise in distance that she gets here in the Flight. The wide draw is the worry but given how the track plays at Randwick, 1600m races give you plenty of time to find a position before getting to the bend and her early speed should mean she is in a perfect spot. 

Nash Rawiller is on fire at the moment and this looks perfectly set up for Four Moves Ahead to complete the double. Given Sportsbet are offering bonus back up to 5th, you should be safe to either win or get a bonus back as a worst case scenario!

Best Flight Stakes Tip: Four Moves Ahead – Win ($4.60)

There is plenty more Group One racing happening this weekend! If you want to check out our Runner-By-Runner analysis of the Epsom Handicap, click here! If you want a preview of the Group One action down in Melbourne with the Turnbull Stakes, click here! And lastly, if you want to see our analysis on The Metropolitan Handicap, click here!

If you need more news, information and predictions, head over to our Flight Stakes page for all your punting needs!

*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of Sportsbet.


2020 Flight Stakes Preview, Odds, & Tips

Some talented fillies going around in the first of the Group 1s in Sydney on a big Epsom Stakes Day, with very little splitting the top two… let’s take a look at each of the runners contesting this year’s Group 1 Flight Stakes.

1 – Dame Giselle – $2.75 ???

Has been faultless this preparation with a hattrick of wins, beating home Hungry Heart over the 1200m and the 1400m in their last two outings. Has a superior turn of foot to her rival that allows her to win off a slower speed, and I wouldn’t be talking you out of backing her again.

2 – Hungry Heart – $2.45 ???

Takes a while to wind up and found trouble in the run last start. Has always been looking for a mile, and now has fellow Waller runner Joviality in the race to inject more pace in the race which will suit. I think she may just have enough going her way to turn the tables, but it’s going to be very close.

3 – Vangelic – $13

Will be put into the race and should lead from Joviality, and could hold on for a place if everything goes right.

4 – Montefilia – $9 ??

Ran really well first up in the Tea Rose Stakes and the step up to the mile will definitely suit her. May be looking for longer, but I think she’s a good chance at running a hole and possibly causing a big upset.

5 – Joviality – $13

Stepping up to face the A grade Sydney fillies now, and it looks tough. She’ll go forward but would need everything to go right.

6 – Miravalle – $16 ?

Never had a chance in the Tea Rose after some interference and thought she ran home okay. May head to Melbourne for the Oaks and will be worth following.

7 – Alighted – $301

The price says it all, would need to sprout wings to have a chance.

Tip: 2-1-4-6 – Though I wouldn’t talk you out of either of the top two!

? = Must Watch
? = Big Winning Chance
?= Worth Including in Exotics

2020 Flight Stakes Odds

*Odds correct at time of posting

1Dame Giselle (1)J: Tommy Berry 56kg T: P & P Snowden$2.70$1.40
2Hungry Heart (4)J: James Mcdonald 56kg T: C J Waller$2.30$1.40
3Vangelic (3)J: Tim Clark 56kg T: G Waterhouse & A Bott$11.00$4.20
4Montefilia (6)J: Hugh Bowman 56kg T: David Payne$8.50$3.50
5Joviality (5)J: Kerrin Mcevoy 56kg T: C J Waller$12.00$4.60
6Miravalle (7)J: Joshua Parr 56kg T: Mark Newnham$14.00$5.00
7Alighted (2)J: Regan Bayliss 56kg T: A J Cummings$201.00$61.00