In an amazing result, former AFL coach Denis Pagan has won the Victoria Derby with Johnny Get Angry just four months after saddling up his first runner as a trainer.The 73 year-old, who coached North Melbourne to win AFL premierships in 1996 and ...
Wise Counsel confirmed David Eustace's opinion that he is a potential Victoria Derby contender with his victory in the opening event at Caulfield.The three-year-old was perfect...
In a hurry? We’ve listed all the quick facts that you need to know about the Victoria Derby:
|Date||Saturday, 30th October, 2021|
|Racecourse||Flemington Racecourse, Melbourne, Australia|
The Victoria Derby is one of Australia’s premier Group 1 races and is run over 2500m at Flemington Racecourse in Victoria. It has a total prize pool of $2 million, is for three-year-olds and is raced with set weights. In 2020, the Victoria Derby will take place on Saturday, October 30, the same day as three other Group 1s at Flemington.
Lachlan King rode Johnny Get Angry to victory in the 2020 edition of the Victoria Derby, with Hit The Shot and Young Werther finishing second and third respectively. Johnny Get Angry managed to win by 1 length. The race is known as a very tough one for all the 3 year olds involved.
The first running of the Victoria Derby was way back in 1855, with Rose Of May crossing the line first. A number of racing greats have since won the race, including Phar Lap (1929), Comic Court (1948), Red Anchor (1984) and Efficient (2006).
Champion jockey Hugh Bowman had great success in the Victoria Derby in the early 2010s. He rode Lion Tamer to victory in 2010 before winning onboard Sangster and Polanski. No trainer has quite been able to replicate that same recent success, however, James Scobie holds the record for trainer wins in the race with eight.
Johnny Get Angry ran 2:41.91 to win the 2020 Victoria Derby in what were overcast conditions. The fastest time the race has seen over the last 20 years actually came the year before from Extra Brut. He clocked 2:34.31 to beat home the likes of Stars Of Carrum and Chapada.
The Victoria Derby is one of Australia’s premier horse races and it happens to be a race most Aussies like to have a casual punt on. Our expert tipsters will put together a short list of Victoria Derby tips to look out for in the leadup to the big race. Given the caliber of the horses that grace the hallowed turf at Flemington for the Victoria Derby each year, tips and predictions are always hard to come.
When taking a look at the current futures odds for the 2021 Victoria Derby, Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott’s Converge is the $8.00 favourite and currently the only horse priced below $10 to win the Group 1 meeting. The two year old gelding has placed in each of his last six rides, including three victories.
Captivant, Hilal and Saif share the second best odds of $11.00. Saif has three wins and a second placed finish from four career starts, while Captivant (67%) and Hilal (80%) are both considered ultra-consistent horses owning impressive place percentages from their debut seasons.
We will list The Sharks’ Victoria Derby best tips for the race this year closer to the time of the race. Make sure you check back on this page for updates!
Our tips are not out for the Victoria Derby in 2021 as it is too far out from the event. But the good news is that when the final field for the Victoria Derby is announced, we will provide guidance on each and every runner in the 2021 Victoria Derby.
Winning a Victoria Derby trifecta is not simple, to say the least. But there are definitely tips and tricks that you can consider to make punting a little bit easier.
Victoria Derby Trifecta Tip 1
Don’t blindly trust other punters, always go with your gut when it comes to choosing your favourites. Do your own research and look at stats into runners you think may have a shot at the Victoria Derby trifecta.
Victoria Derby Trifecta Tip 2
If you’re a bit unsure where to start with your research, consider checking out a Victoria Derby form guide – bookies like Sportsbet and Neds have them available year-round.
Victoria Derby Trifecta Tip 3
Consider placing a box trifecta as opposed to a straight trifecta. A box trifecta is great because it covers you in all combinations of finishing positions, once you’ve chosen three runners. It will cost a bit more money extra to place, but improves your chances of winning a Victoria Derby trifecta by a great amount.
Where to Place a Victoria Derby Trifecta?
You’re able to place a Victoria Derby trifecta through an online bookie – or in store at TAB. Online bookies often offer elite punting services – with plenty of fans placing a box trifecta with the 3 favourites in their bet.
Online bookies are also not subject to business hours or location – which means you’re able to place a Victoria Derby trifecta from your living room! Online bookies also offer a step-by-step guide into placing a Victoria Derby trifecta.
Given the popularity of the event, betting for the Victoria Derby is much easier with online bookies. This way you can avoid crowded and confusing TABs, while still having access to the many great bookmakers that operate in Australia.
Like many of the top Group 1s in the Spring Racing Carnival, the Victoria Derby has a mixed betting history and there are a lot of important factors to consider before betting on the Victoria Derby.
Make sure you have a read on below before you place your bets:
Should I Bet On The Favourite in the Victoria Derby?
When looking at betting on the favoured horses at the Victoria Derby, the recent record would suggest that that is the smart play. One of the last five winners has had a starting price inside $3, four have had starting prices at $10 or less. The only outlier is 2016 winner Prized Icon who won at $17.
In terms of the standalone pre-race favourite, Ace High won the race in 2017 after starting as a $7 favourite and Tarzino won as the clear favourite in 2015. Other than that, favourites have a pretty poor record in the race, with the two aforementioned horses the only successful favourite in the last decade.
Is Previous Victoria Derby Form a Good Indicator of Future Derby Success?
Like any race or any sport for that matter, it is important to assess the form of your selection prior to placing your bet. Victoria Derby betting is no different. Although the Derby is one of the most highly regarded three year old races in the nation, it still features several maiden horses every year.
However, given their success over the 164 runnings of the Derby it is best to avoid them, as a maiden has only won the derby on four occasions in the race’s history. Martini Henry in 1883, Fire Oak in 1990, Redding in 1992 and Preferment in 2014.
A good way of filtering through your Victoria Derby top bets every year is to start by ruling out almost all of the fillies. We do not mean to discriminate based on the gender of the horse, however the last filly to win the Victoria Derby was Frances Tressady back in 1923. Fillies rarely compete in the race which has hindered their chances of victory during this 98 year drought.
More often than not, weight is an important factor that must be considered before making a bet on any race. However, the Derby is an exception to this suggestion. The Victoria Derby is run with set weights that see the colts carry 55.5 kilograms and the fillies carry 53.5kg.
Our Victoria Derby best bets for 2021 are not out just yet, make sure you keep an eye out on this page as we will provide more details about our best bets when the final field is announced.
Below is a table that outlines the basics on how to bet on the Victoria Derby:
|Bet Type||How to Place This Type of Bet|
|Win Bet||Place a bet on the horse you think will be the outright winner (1st place) in the 2021 Victoria Derby.|
|Place Bet||Place a bet on the horse you think will place in the top three in the 2021 Victoria Derby. Pays less than a win bet, but the odds are safer.|
|Each-Way Bet||Place a bet on the horse you think will win the Victoria Derby, with a safety net of a place bet. If your horse runs 1st, you will collect both the win and the place pay-out. If your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd, you will win only the place pay-out.|
|Quinella Bet||Place a bet on the horses you think will finish 1st and 2nd in any order in the Victoria Derby.|
|Exacta Bet||Place a bet on the horses you think will finish 1st and 2nd in the correct order in the Victoria Derby.|
|Trifecta Bet||Place a bet on the horses you think will finish 1st, 2nd and 3rd in the correct order in the Victoria Derby.|
|First Four||Place a bet on the horses you think will finish 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th in the correct order in the Victoria Derby.|
|Quaddie||Place a bet on the winners of four nominated races to win a quaddie. This means you have to select three other races apart from the Victoria Derby to place a quaddie.|
As the Victoria Derby is one of the cornerstone Group I races that features in Flemington’s Spring Carnival, bookies look to release odds for the race several months prior to the field being set.
All horses that are likely to run in the upcoming Victoria Derby are given odds by bookmakers so punters can participate in what is known as futures betting. Futures betting occurs when a betting market is available before the final field is known, allowing punters to get in early on a horse that they believe will both make it into the final field and win or place in the race.
Here are the current odds for the top 10 favorites in the 2021 Victoria Derby, courtesy of Sportsbet:
|Name:||Odds To Win:||Odds To Place:|
|With Your Blessing||15.00||4.50|
(Odds current as of late July, 2021.)
When looking at a horse racing field, it is essentially just the lineup of horses that will be taking part in any given race. The Victoria Derby field is full of some of the best three-year-old stayers in Australia and abroad. Normally the race has a big field, which means at times it can be difficult to find a winner.
The Victoria Derby field is collated by prize money, as the acceptors with the most prize money will make up the final field. Although there were only 14 runners in the 2020 Victoria Derby, the field can feature up to 16 runners with the provision of a further four emergencies.
In 2021, nominations for the race close on October 25 and final acceptances are on October 27. So while we wait for this year’s field to be announce, check out the Victoria Derby field from last year, in 2020:
|Finishing Position:||Name (Barrier):||Jockey:||Trainer:|
|1st||Johnny Get Angry (5)||Lachlan King||Denis Pagan|
|2nd||Hit The Shot (9)||Fred W Kersley||Matt Cumani|
|3rd||Young Weather (4)||Damien Oliver||Danny O’Brien|
|4th||Cherry Tortini (14)||Billy Egan||Patrick Payne|
|5th||Let’s Karaka Deel (3)||John Allen||Ciaron Maher & David Eustace|
|6th||Token Spirit (11)||Damien Lane||Robbie Griffiths|
|7th||Albarado (8)||Mark Zahra||Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young|
|8th||Cetshwayo (10)||Jamie Kah||Danny O’Brien|
|9th||Wisaka (2)||Ben Melham||Michael Moroney|
|10th||Tour Of Duty (13)||James McDonald||Michael Moroney|
|11th||Redwood Shadow (12)||Jye McNeil||Mick Price|
|12th||Wertheimer (6)||Hugh Bowman||Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young|
|13th||Kenzan (1)||Daniel Moor||Danny O’Brien|
|14th||Born To Succeed (7)||Michael Walker||Saab Hasan|
When looking at who you plan to stake your wager on for the Victoria Derby, it definitely pays to keep the barrier draw in mind, however it is not as important as other races based on the data.
Although the start of the 2,500m race at Flemington only features a relatively short run of the straight before the field disperses around the first bend, the superior stayer in the race tends to win regardless of where they have drawn.
Since 1983, there has been little evidence to suggest that a certain barrier is more advantageous than any other. Apart from barrier three, which has not produced a winning horse in the past 37 years.
With the race yet to be run, we still don’t know what the Victoria Derby results for 2021 will be! However, check back in after the race and we will have all of the information on how the big race went and what the results are.
Looking back at last year, the Denis Pagan trained horse Johnny Get Angry hit the straight in a much more forward position than he had done in previous starts, before the gelding ramped up the pace with Hit The Shot (2nd) and Young Weather (3rd) at the 300m mark to make it a three horse race. With the outside position of the three frontrunners, Johnny Get Angry hit the front and fought hard to pass the post first with a time of 2:41.91.
We at Racing Sharks can assure you that as soon as the final results for the 2021 Victoria Derby are made official, that they will be online and ready to be broken down by our racing experts.
In the meantime, take a look at the full field of results from the 2020 Victoria Derby, a race that saw Johnny Get Angry win the $1.5 million prize money at $21 odds:
|Finishing Position:||Name (Barrier):||Margin:|
|1st||Johnny Get Angry (5)||–|
|2nd||Hit The Shot (9)||1.0L|
|3rd||Young Weather (4)||1.2L|
|4th||Cherry Tortini (14)||1.5L|
|5th||Let’s Karaka Deel (3)||2.2L|
|6th||Token Spirit (11)||2.5L|
|10th||Tour Of Duty (13)||7.5L|
|11th||Redwood Shadow (12)||8.5L|
|14th||Born To Succeed (7)||11.6L|
You’ve read the words, now watch the video! Have a squiz below at the 2020 Victoria Derby race:
The results for the upcoming Victoria Derby are not yet available, but in the meantime, you can have a look below at all the recent past winners:
|2020||Johnny Get Angry||Hit The Shot||Young Weather|
|2019||Warning||Southern Moon||Soul Patch|
|2018||Extra Brut||Star Of Carrum||Chapada|
|2016||Prized Icon||Scared Elixir||Inference|
|2015||Tarzino||Etymology||Kia Ora Koutou|
As it is the first event of four Group 1 races that fall in the same week during Flemington’s annual spring carnival, the Victoria Derby attracts the best jockeys from both Australia and the World.
Like every major sporting event in 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic obviously impacted international jockeys from donning the silks at the 2020 Victoria Derby, however the race still featured the best Australian jockeys, including from Melbourne, Sydney and Perth.
Throughout the 164 runnings of the Victoria Derby, several jockeys have made iconic names for themselves. None bigger than Bobbie Lewis. Lewis holds the record for the most rides of a Victorian Derby winner with eight, winning in 1900, 1901, 1904, 1908, 1912, 1914, 1921 and 1927. Yes, that is a staggering 27 years between his first and last winning ride.
Almost a century since Lewis’ last Derby winner, Damien Oliver is the modern day champion of Victoria Derby jockeys. Oliver has won the race on five occasions across his illustrious career, riding Redding to victory in 1992, Amalfi in 2001, Elvstroem in 2003, Fiveandahalfstar in 2012 Preferment in 2014 and most recently Warning in 2019.
Apprentice jockey Lachlan King claimed the first and only Group 1 victory of his career at last year’s Derby, riding Johnny Get Angry to victory by a length:
|Lachlan King||Johnny Get Angry||1st|
|Fred W Kersley||Hit The Shot||2nd|
|Damien Oliver||Young Weather||3rd|
|Billy Egan||Cherry Tortini||4th|
|John Allen||Let’s Karaka Deel||5th|
|Damien Lane||Token Spirit||6th|
|James McDonald||Tour Of Duty||10th|
|Jye McNeil||Redwood Shadow||11th|
|Michael Walker||Born To Succeed||14th|
Along with the horse and the jockey, the final piece to any winning horse’s puzzle is the trainer. Nature vs nurture is the age-old question surrounding how people develop, and it is no different with horses. The genetic makeup of a horse provides it with the necessary talent and durability to become a race horse, however for a horse to reach their full potential they must be trained.
As the Derby is a grueling 2,500m race that rewards a horse that can stay the course from start to finish, getting the horse to be at the peak of its powers on Derby day is no easy task. With this in mind, it is often best to follow trainers whose horses have been fit enough to see out the three-year-old classic in previous years.
Lee Freedman is widely regarded as the most successful Victoria Derby trainer of the modern era, leading Benicio to victory in 2005, Portland Player to victory in 1996 and the great Mahogany to victory in 1993.
Two time AFL Premiership coach Denis Pagan has also tasted success in his new profession after training Johnny Get Angry for last year’s Derby. Following his 15 seasons as an AFL head coach, Pagan achieved what most trainers fail to do in a lifetime when he won a Group 1 within four months of debuting his first runner. Pagan is rumored to be training Turn It Up Tommy for the 2021 Victoria Derby, certainly one to keep an eye on.
Have a look below at the trainers for the 2020 Victoria Derby:
|Denis Pagan||Johnny Get Angry||1st|
|Matt Cumani||Hit The Shot||2nd|
|Danny O’Brien||Young Weather||3rd|
|Patrick Payne||Cherry Tortini||4th|
|Ciaron Maher & David Eustace||Let’s Karaka Deel||5th|
|Robbie Griffiths||Token Spirit||6th|
|Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young||Albarado||7th|
|Michael Moroney||Tour Of Duty||10th|
|Mick Price||Redwood Shadow||11th|
|Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young||Wertheimer||12th|
|Saab Hasan||Born To Succeed||14th|