This year’s Metropolitan Handicap (2400m) may not have the star power of some of the other Group 1 races on a massive day of racing, but there’s still plenty of opportunity for a fill up!Let’s take a closer look at each runner locking horns...
In a hurry? We’ve listed all the quick facts that you need to know about The Metropolitan:
|Date||Saturday, 2nd October, 2021|
|Racecourse||Randwick Racecourse, Sydney, Australia|
The Metropolitan is a Group One race over 2,400m and is held at Randwick Racecourse. The race is for horses aged three or older and is run under handicap conditions with a total prizemoney pool of $750,000. This year the Metropolitan will be held on Saturday, October 2nd and was won by Mirage Dancer in 2020.
In what is one of the biggest days of racing on the entire calendar, The Metropolitan is part of Epsom Handicap day in Sydney whilst also sharing the day with the Turnbull Stakes in Melbourne. The 2,400m handicap is run for horses three or older and has a total prizemoney pool of $750,000.
It isn’t just money on the line in this one with ballot-exemption entry into the Queen Elizabeth Stakes in the Autumn carnival. That is a massive bonus for connections as that race holds a $4M purse and is often raced between some of the best stayers in the world.
The Metropolitan is one of the oldest races on the calendar, being first run in 1863 and won by Regno. Since then, the likes of Sir Modred, Beau Vite, Delta, Ming Dynasty and Railings have been able to conquer The Metropolitan, with the 2020 edition being won by Mirage Dancer.
Given the race is still weeks away and the field is not set, we are yet to come up with our George Main Stakes tips for 2021, but be sure to read on below to get all of the information you need to know on the history and formlines for the race.
The Metropolitan is an Australian Group 1 race that brings some of the best horses and it attracts the attention of many Aussies who like to have a casual punt on. Our expert tipsters will put together a short list of The Metropolitan tips to look out for in the leadup to the big race.
Given nominations are yet to be accepted for The Metropolitan in 2021, it is hard to provide any updates at this time. However, as the Spring Carnival gets going, the horses that are targeting this race will become clearer and we will be able to provide you with updates. If you are after The Metropolitan horse tips, then we will keep you informed with which horses are likely to be running, so you can place your futures bets with confidence!
Looking ahead to The Metropolitan odds for 2021, exciting gelding Incentivise leads the chances at $8.50. He came into his own during his 2021 Autumn/Winter preparation, winning six races spanning from distances of 1600m to 2500m. He is now favourite for not only The Metropolitan but also the Caulfield and Melbourne Cups.
Following Incentivise is She’s Ideel at $10. The mare had a good 2021 Autumn preparation without actually winning at all. In fact, She’s Ideel only won one race all of last season and hasn’t won above BM78 grade in her career. She did finish 2nd in the 2400m Tancred Stakes, behind Cox Plate winner Sir Dragonet, but wasn’t able to break through for a win.
Other chances, some of whom are better betting propositions than She’s Ideel, include Mount Popa ($14), Realm Of Flowers ($14), Colette ($15) and Explosive Jack ($15). Something to consider if looking to have a futures bet on The Metropolitan!
We will list The Sharks’ Metropolitan best tips for the race this year closer to the time of the race. Make sure you check back on this page for updates!
Our tips are not out for The Metropolitan in 2021 as it is too far out from the event. But the good news is that when the final field for The Metropolitan is announced, we will provide guidance on each and every runner in The 2021 Metropolitan.
You will find all this information below, when it becomes available. Stay tuned!
Being one of the better staying races during the Sydney Spring Carnival, The Metropolitan can be particularly tricky to judge. We have analysed some of the more important factors to consider when trying to find The Metropolitan top bets and hopefully made the picture a bit more clear for you!
Is Previous Form in The Metropolitan a Good Indicator of Future Success?
Well, just one horse has been able to win multiple editions of The Metropolitan over the last 40 years. Based on this, being a previous winner seems to hold no impact on improving your chances to be able to win the race in the future.
When looking more recently, there hasn’t been a horse that has been able to place more than once over the last 10 years. That is a pretty damning statistic and is a key indicator that previous form does not indicate future success.
While some horses may have run in the race previously and then gone on to win, they clearly haven’t done well. You may be best inclined looking for proven stayers and those that have started their Spring preparations off well.
Should I Bet On The Favourite in The Metropolitan?
Over the last 10 years, just two favourites have gone on to win The Metropolitan, Glencadam Gold at $2.80 in 2012 and Magic Hurricane at $3 in 2015. Outside of those two horses, just two other winners had single digit odds, indicating that roughies may be the best way to go in this race.
That means that six of the last 10 winners have had double digit odds, including one at $16 and one at $21. Mirage Dancer, last year’s winner, jumped at $10. He was fourth favourite in the race and finished 0.2 lengths ahead of Mugatoo, who jumped as $3 favourite.
Formlines Heading into The Metropolitan
While there is no clear main lead-up race for The Metropolitan, three of the last five winners contested the Group Three Kingston Town Stakes, which is typically three weeks prior to The Metropolitan.
Mirage Dancer was one of the two that didn’t participate in the Kingston Town Stakes in the lead-up. He contested The Metropolitan third up, finishing 7th in the listed Heatherlie Stakes, being freshened for four weeks and then coming fourth in the Group Three JRA Cup before going on to win his first and only Group One race.
Looking at the last five winners, three of them contested the race third up and just one of them actually won in that preparation, prior to the race. That was Come Play With Me, who is a bit of an outlier after contesting the Perth Winter Carnival and never being spelled or let up before the Spring Carnival.
After his last race in Perth, which he won at listed level, the gelding changed trainers but was just freshened for five weeks during this time, before having two runs prior to The Metropolitan.
While it isn’t a formline race, something of note is that two of the last five winners changed trainers before the Spring preparation in which they won The Metropolitan, which could be something a bit left-of-field to look for.
The Metropolitan has historically been won by older horses, with just one horse aged under five winning since 2000. However over the last 10 years, there has been no particular trend in terms of age.
Across horses aged five, six, seven and eight, it has been quite an even spread of winners. The former two have had three wins each while the latter two have had two wins each. In saying that, over the last five years all four of the seven- and eight-year-old winners have taken place.
Here is a table indicating the ages of winners of The Metropolitan since the 2011 edition:
|Age||# of Wins|
Given the Handicap conditions of The Metropolitan, there have been plenty of varying weights to win the race over the years. Horses carrying 55.5kg have won on three occasions while horses carrying 54kg have won twice, over the last 10 years.
However, the weights of winners have been very varied, ranging from 50.5kg to 56kg in the last 10 years. While 55.5kg seems to be the clear leader, this is quite a dispersed statistic and can’t be followed too closely.
Since 2000, just one mare has won the race, with The Metropolitan being dominated by males over recent years. Over the last 10 years, geldings have been the way to go, winning eight of those races. The other two years saw a six-year-old entire and seven-year-old entire come out on top, however, if you are looking for a horse to follow then it is likely best to look for a gelding.
Based on our data that we have analysed so far, your The Metropolitan best bet is to look for a gelding aged five or older. They will have hopefully contested the Group Three Kingston Town Stakes prior to the run, however, success in the lead-up and also in the race previously is not vital.
Our The Metropolitan best bets for 2021 are not out just yet, make sure you keep an eye out on this page as we will provide more details about our best bets when the final field is announced.
You will find our best bets below once available. Stay tuned!
Long before The Metropolitan field is officially announced – online bookies will open early markets, or all-in markets, for The Metropolitan betting. This is prime time to bet on your favourite horse, as you might be able to bet on strong contenders for the race at double-digit odds.
Given they have already been released, The Metropolitan odds for 2021 will obviously fluctuate frequently in the lead up to the race, especially when we have a better idea of which horses will be targeting the race and their form leading into the race.
Punting early on these markets can find you a favourite at prices of $10 or more, which will retain you a much higher return on investment. However, there is increased risk with doing this and you should be well aware.
Depending on when you place your 2021 The Metropolitan futures bet, your horse may not even run but you won’t get your money back, occurring when the market is ‘All-In’ or closer to the starting date. If you are betting when it says ‘Before Noms’, you have the security of receiving your money back if your horse doesn’t run.
The Metropolitan odds are already out for 2021, but make sure to compare these prices between different bookies. Although they usually agree on a horse’s price, you may stumble across much higher odds – with an obvious higher profit involved.
The below table shows the current 2021 The Metropolitan odds as of late September, courtesy of Sportsbet:
|Heart Of Puissance||$11|
Due to its Group One status and the fact it is relatively early in the spring, The Metropolitan often has a very strong field. As mentioned, it is regularly used as a lead-up race to the Caulfield Cup or Cox Plate, some hopefuls for that race can also be found in The Metropolitan.
The Metropolitan field for 2021 will be finalised on Tuesday, September 28th and in the meantime, we can take a look back at the field from the 2020 race:
|1. Mustajeer (58kg)||5||Hugh Bowman||Kris Lees|
|2. Mugatoo (57kg)||7||Kerrin McEvoy||Kris Lees|
|3. Mirage Dancer (55.5kg)||3||Nash Rawiller||T Busuttin & N Young|
|4. Wu Gok (55kg)||11||Sam Clipperton||Chris Waller|
|5. Raheen House||–||–||Kris Lees|
|6. Etah James (53.5kg)||6||Regan Bayliss||C Maher & D Eustace|
|7. Shared Ambition||–||–||Chris Waller|
|8. Brimham Rocks (53.5kg)||13||Brenton Avdulla||Chris Waller|
|9. Hush Writer (53kg)||2||Tim Clark||G Waterhouse & A Bott|
|10. Lord Belvedere||–||–||C Maher & D Eustace|
|11. Carif (52.5kg)||9||Robbie Dolan||Peter & Paul Snowden|
|12. Rondinella (51.5kg)||12||Rachel King||John O’Shea|
|13. Angel Of Truth (51.5kg)||10||Tommy Berry||M, W & J Hawkes|
|14. Azuro (51.5kg)||17||Louise Day||C Maher & D Eustace|
|15. Paths Of Glory (50.5kg)||14||Kathy O’Hara||R & M Freedman|
|16. Girl Tuesday (50kg)||18||Glen Boss||Clarry Conners|
|17. Miss Sentimental (50kg)||15||Jess Taylor||Chris Waller|
|18. Zebrowski (50kg)||4||James Innes Jr||M, W & J Hawkes|
|19e. Norway (50.5kg)||16||Alysha Collett||Chris Waller|
|20e. Attention Run (50kg)||1||Andrew Gibbons||Kris Lees|
|21e. Sir Charles Road (51kg)||8||Brock Ryan||L O’Sullivan & A Scott|
With the race yet to be run, we still don’t know what The Metropolitan results for 2021 will be! However, check back in after the race and we will have all of the information on how the big race went and what the results are.
Looking back at the 2020 results, the placings saw Mirage Dancer finish first, 0.2 lengths ahead of Mugatoo who was 0.2 lengths ahead of Angel Of Truth in an incredible finish for the top horses.
Mirage Dancer had a perfect sit throughout the race, settling in the third pair on the fence with plenty of cover. While horses began making their moves by going wide entering the straight, Nash Rawiller waited for a slot to open up along his line and bursted home for victory.
Mugatoo took a different approach, with Kerrin McEvoy choosing to find a back and go wide around the bend. The exceptional turn of foot allowed Mugatoo to power home down the straight but couldn’t quite extend, settling for second.
Angel Of Truth, took yet another path to finishing in the top three. Tommy Berry, from barrier 10, took the gelding straight to the front and led for the entire race, sticking to the rails. He was able to put in a massive effort but couldn’t quite keep up down the stretch.
You’ve read the words, now watch the video! Have a squiz below at The Metropolitan race in 2020:
Let’s took a look back at the full The Metropolitan results from 2020:
|1st||3. Mirage Dancer (55.5kg)||Nash Rawiller||–|
|2nd||2. Mugatoo (57kg)||Kerrin McEvoy||0.2L|
|3rd||13. Angel Of Truth (51.5kg)||Tommy Berry||0.4L|
|4th||9. Hush Writer (53kg)||Tim Clark||1.9L|
|5th||15. Paths Of Glory (50.5kg)||Kathy O’Hara||4L|
|6th||18. Zebrowski (50kg)||James Innes Jr||4.1L|
|7th||16. Girl Tuesday (50kg)||Glen Boss||4.2L|
|8th||8. Brimham Rocks (53.5kg)||Brenton Avdulla||4.3L|
|9th||1. Mustajeer (58kg)||Hugh Bowman||4.4L|
|10th||12. Rondinella (51.5kg)||Rachel King||4.8L|
|11th||11. Carif (52.5kg)||Robbie Dolan||6L|
|12th||4. Wu Gok (55kg)||Sam Clipperton||7.1L|
|13th||6. Etah James (53.5kg)||Regan Bayliss||8.7L|
|14th||14. Azuro (51.5kg)||Louise Day||9L|
|15th||21e. Sir Charles Road (51kg)||Brook Ryan||10.3L|
|16th||19e. Norway (50.5kg)||Alysha Collett||10.9L|
|17th||17. Miss Sentimental (50kg)||Jess Taylor||11.1L|
|18th||20e. Attention Run (50kg)||Andrew Gibbons||13.6L|
The results for the upcoming The Metropolitan are not yet available, but in the meantime, you can have a look below at all the recent past winners:
|2020||Mirage Dancer||Mugatoo||Angel Of Truth|
|2019||Come Play With Me||Gallic Chieftain||Sir Charles Road|
|2018||Patrick Erin||Brimham Rocks||Sikandarabad|
|2016||Sir John Hawkwood||Antonio Giuseppe||Allergic|
|2015||Magic Hurricane||Beaten Up||Havana Cooler|
|2013||Seville||Julienas||Sneak A Peek|
|2012||Glencadem Gold||Kelinni||Reuben Percival|
|2011||The Verminator||Hawk Island||Lamasery|
|2010||Herculian Prince||Mourayan||No Wine No Song|