It’s Ladies Day at Flemington and some very talented fillies are going around in the 2020 VRC Kennedy Oaks (2500m) for the $1 million on offer.Can anyone knock off hot favourite Montefilia? Let’s take a look at each and every runner in the 20...
In a hurry? We’ve listed all the quick facts that you need to know about the VRC Kennedy Oaks:
|Date||Thursday, 4th November, 2021|
|Racecourse||Flemington Racecourse, Melbourne, Australia|
The VRC Kennedy Oaks is a Group One race over 2,500m and is run at Flemington Racecourse. The race is run exclusively for three-year-old fillies, is the headline act on the Thursday of Melbourne Cup week and is run under set weights conditions with a total prizemoney pool of $1,000,000. This year’s VRC Kennedy Oaks will be run on Thursday, November 4th and was won by Personal in 2020.
Oaks Day, which is on the Thursday of Melbourne Cup Week, is home to the VRC Kennedy Oaks, which is a 2,500m Group One race exclusively for three-year-old fillies. Run under set weights, 55.5kg, the Oaks holds a total prizemoney pool of $1M and is often the furthest test for the three-year-old fillies, at the young stage of their careers.
Being run first in 1861, won by Palestine, the VRC Oaks has seen some incredible mares kick start their career in the race, as fillies. Evening Peal and Light Fingers both won the VRC Oaks in one year then won the Melbourne Cup in the next.
Surround is one of the best to ever win the Oaks, having a spectacular three-year-old season that saw her take out the Cox Plate, then the VRC Oaks before winning the Australian Oaks in the Autumn preparation.
Research was another filly to have an incredible three-year-old season, winning the VRC Oaks in Spring before being the first filly to complete the AJC Derby and AJC Oaks in Autumn.
Miami Bound won the race in 2019 but has only been able to win one race since then, the G2 Moonee Valley Cup in 2020. Personal, the 2020 winner of the VRC Oaks who ran the second fastest time over the last 10 years, followed a similar path to Miami Bound by failing to win a race in her three-year-old Autumn preparation.
Given the race is still weeks away and the field is not set, we are yet to come up with our VRC Kennedy Oaks tips for 2021, but be sure to read on below to get all of the information you need to know on the history and formlines for the race.
The VRC Kennedy Oaks is an Australian Group One race that brings the best three-year-old fillies to the races and it also attracts the attention of many Aussies who like to have a casual punt. Our expert tipsters will put together a short list of VRC Kennedy Oaks tips to look out for in the leadup to the big race.
Given nominations are yet to be accepted for the 2021 VRC Kennedy Oaks, it is hard to provide any updates at this time. However, as the Spring Carnival gets going, the fillies that are targeting this race will become clearer and we will be able to provide you with updates. If you are after VRC Kennedy Oaks horse tips, then we will keep you informed with which fillies are likely to be running, so you can place your futures bets with confidence!
Argentia is currently on top of the VRC Kennedy Oaks odds, priced as $8 favourite. This is somewhat surprising given that the filly has had just one career race, winning a 1,100m two-year-old handicap race in the Winter. She is out of Frankel, one of the best thoroughbreds to ever grace the turf, winning races up to 2,200m.
Following her is Gonnadancealot, who priced at $12 and has already booked a ticket into the VRC Oaks after winning the 1,800m Byerley Handicap in July. Four Moves Ahead and La Rocque, who are even in the odds at $13, have both won at group level as a two-year-old and could be interesting runners in this race.
We will list The Sharks’ VRC Kennedy Oaks best tips for the race this year closer to the time of the race. Make sure you check back on this page for updates!
Our tips are not out for the VRC Kennedy Oaks in 2021 as it is too far out from the event. But the good news is that when the final field for the VRC Kennedy Oaks is announced, we will provide guidance on each and every runner in the 2021 VRC Kennedy Oaks.
You will find all this information below, when it becomes available. Stay tuned!
Due to the size and quality of the field, the VRC Kennedy Oaks can be a difficult race to find a winner in. However, the Shark is always analysing every aspect of the race and we have found some important factors when trying to find the VRC Kennedy Oaks top bets.
Is Two-Year-Old Form Vital for VRC Kennedy Oaks success?
When looking at the VRC Kennedy Oaks betting tips, two-year-old form is actually not required. Three of the last five winners of the Oaks didn’t win a race as a two-year-old and one of the five didn’t even race as a two-year-old.
Personal is the only winner over the last five years to have won a race as a two-year-old. However, the filly only won one of her four races in her first season and it was just a two-year-old handicap race, coming 3rd in the Blue Diamond and 12th in the Golden Slipper.
Should I Bet On The Favourite in the VRC Kennedy Oaks?
While just one of the last 10 winners have had double digit odds, it is actually best to bet around the favourite. In fact, just one of the last 10 favourites have actually come out on top in the VRC Kennedy Oaks, Kirramosa at $2.70 in 2013.
Over the last four years, the second favourite has won twice and the third favourite has won twice, with odds ranging between $4.20 and $6. Lasqueti Spirit is the one outlier, who won the race in 2016 despite having lost his previous nine races and jumping at $101. Personal won in 2020 when jumping as third favourite, priced at $6, while Miami Bound was second favourite in 2019 with a price of $4.20.
Formlines Heading into the VRC Kennedy Oaks
There are definitely some mixed formlines of the lead up for VRC Kennedy Oaks winners, however each of the last three contested the Wakeful Stakes in the run prior to the Oaks, with Miami Bound in 2019 and Aristia in 2018 winning the Wakeful, while Personal came a narrow second in 2020.
The Ethereal Stakes, Manifold Stakes and Tranquil Star are other races where at least two of the last four winners of the Oaks contested that in the lead-up. Last year, Personal actually didn’t win any of her four runs in the lead up to the Oaks, contesting it fifth up. The previous four winners before Personal contested the Oaks either sixth or seventh up.
Our VRC Kennedy Oaks best bets for 2021 are not out just yet, make sure you keep an eye out on this page as we will provide more details about our best bets when the final field is announced.
You will find our best bets below once available. Stay tuned!
Long before the VRC Kennedy Oaks field is officially announced online bookies will open early markets, or all-in markets, for VRC Kennedy Oaks betting. This is prime time to bet on your favourite horse, as you might be able to bet on strong contenders for the 2021 VRC Kennedy Oaks at double-digit odds.
Once the bookies release the 2021 VRC Kennedy Oaks odds, they will obviously fluctuate frequently in the lead up to the race, especially when we have a better idea of which fillies will be targeting the race and how well they have returned as a three-year-old.
Punting early on these markets can find you a favourite at prices of $10 or more, which will retain you a much higher return on investment. However, there is increased risk with doing this and you should be well aware.
Depending on when you place a futures bet on the 2021 VRC Kennedy Oaks, your horse may not even run but you won’t get your money back, occurring when the market is ‘All-In’ or closer to the starting date. If you are betting when it says ‘Before Noms’, you have the security of receiving your money back if your horse doesn’t run.
The VRC Kennedy Oaks odds are already out for 2021, but make sure to compare these prices between different bookies. Although they usually agree on a horse’s price, you may stumble across much higher odds – with an obvious higher profit involved.
The below table shows the current 2021 VRC Kennedy Oaks odds as of early August, courtesy of Sportsbet:
|Four Moves Ahead||$13|
|Mac N Cheese||$15|
|Queen Of Wizardry||$17|
The VRC Kennedy Oaks field has the best staying three-year-old fillies from Australia and abroad. Due to its $1M prizepool and illustrious prestige, the Oaks normally has large fields of quality runners. The final VRC Kennedy Oaks field will be announced at the barrier draw, which is set to take place on Monday, November 1st.
With the 2021 VRC Kennedy Oaks field yet to be determined, let’s take a look back at the 2020 field, headlined by winner Personal:
|1. Montefilia (56kg)||5||Hugh Bowman||David Payne|
|2. Personal (56kg)||10||Damien Oliver||T Dabernig & B Hayes|
|3. Cafe Rizu (56kg)||14||Craig Newitt||M Price & M Kent (Jnr)|
|4. Succeed Indeed (56kg)||13||Mark Zahra||Leon & Troy Corstens|
|5. Salto Angel (NZ) (56kg)||9||Damian Lane||Danny O’Brien|
|6. Miravalle (56kg)||6||Craig Williams||Mark Newnham|
|7. Tyche Goddess (56kg)||3||Kerrin McEvoy||T Busuttin & N Young|
|8. Biarchi (56kg)||1||John Allen||David Jolly|
|9. Star Of Eden (56kg)||2||Billy Egan||Michael Moroney|
|10. Art Glass (56kg)||12||William Pike||Grahame Begg|
|11. Vilanculos (56kg)||7||Jamie Kah||Danny O’Brien|
|12. Hard Squeeze (56kg)||8||Dean Yendall||R Griffiths & M de Kock|
|13. Yatton (NZ) (56kg)||4||Jye McNeil||Michael Moroney|
|14. Swindon Lass (56kg)||11||Brian Higgins||Matthew Brown|
With the race yet to be run, we still don’t know what the VRC Kennedy Oaks results for 2021 will be! However, check back in after the race and we will have all of the information on how the big race went and what the results are.
Looking back at the 2020 race, Personal had too much power in the end, storming over the top of Salto Angel and short-priced favourite Montefilia, who finished 1.25 lengths and 2.5 lengths back respectively.
Jumping from barrier 10 of 13, Personal had to settle at the back of the field and was forced wide to be able to make her move, but Damien Oliver knew exactly what he was doing on top of her. Personal showed an exceptional turn of foot down the straight, being one length back at the 200m mark but eventually winning by over a length.
Salto Angel jumped from one barrier inside of Personal, but had a better start and was able to push further up. However, the wide barrier forced her wide and eventually she had to settle back in the pack.
Ben Melham made a move early and went wide around the field entering the straight, but he gave a back for Personal to follow and may have done the work for her. The short-priced Montefilia settled near the front of the pack and had clear air to make a move, but didn’t have the turn of foot to keep up in the straight.
You’ve read the words, now watch the video! Have a squiz below at the 2020 VRC Kennedy Oaks race:
Here are the full results from the VRC Kennedy Oaks in 2020:
|1st||2. Personal (56kg)||Damien Oliver||–|
|2nd||5. Salto Angel (NZ) (56kg)||Damian Lane||1.25L|
|3rd||1. Montefilia (56kg)||Hugh Bowman||2.5L|
|4th||6. Miravalle (56kg)||Craig Williams||5L|
|5th||3. Cafe Rizu (56kg)||Craig Newitt||7L|
|6th||4. Succeed Indeed (56kg)||Mark Zahra||13L|
|7th||8. Biarchi (56kg)||John Allen||14L|
|8th||13. Yatton (NZ) (56kg)||Jye McNeil||20L|
|9th||10. Art Glass (56kg)||William Pike||21.25L|
|10th||12. Hard Squeeze (56kg)||Dean Yendall||27.25L|
|11th||14. Swindon Lass (56kg)||Brian Higgins||28.5L|
|12th||9. Star Of Eden (56kg)||Billy Egan||38.5L|
|13th||7. Tyche Goddess (56kg)||Kerrin McEvoy||48.5L|
The results for the upcoming VRC Kennedy Oaks are not yet available, but in the meantime, you can have a look below at all the recent past winners:
|2019||Miami Bound||Never Listen||Moonlight Maid|
|2018||Aristia||Greysful Glamour||Miner’s Miss|
|2017||Pinot||Bring Me Roses||Hiyaam|
|2016||Lasqueti Spirit||Harlow Gold||Eleonora|
|2014||Set Square||Thunder Lady||Golconda|
|2011||Mosheen||Dowager Queen||Roma Giaconda|