We have studied the form from all races across the country for Wednesday, September 7, and provided our best horse racing tips.
Mother nature is a fickle Mistress and she had her way with punters on Saturday.
A very average looking forecast soon turned exceedingly ugly and the quality fields at Sydney were ravaged by late scratchings, and a filthy leader bias at Randwick on a track first up out of a winter campaign leaving punters no doubt rattled, not to mention light on in the cunning kick.
But this card has us buoyed to fight back here. A really high quality midweek card at Canterbury, Sandown, as well as Eagle Farm, which hopefully is the start of a pattern going forward as we wade deeper into the waters of the high tide of Australian horse racing, the Spring carnival.
We have made five selections in total and are confident that we have found you some winners! So, read on below to find our best horse racing tips for this Wednesday, September 7.
Eagle Farm, Race 2 – 2. Bottega
You could have knocked me down with a feather if you told me one day you would find this bloke in a Class 4 set weights midweek race in Brisbane.
Only two negatives. The +10.5m rail and the drop back to 1400m.
Not worried about the latter as some of his best runs have been at 1400/1500m including a 5th to Colette and Icebath in a $7.5 million Golden Eagle. 2nd to Gem Song in a Newcastle Newmarket and 3rd to Yao Dash in a Doncaster Prelude.
That was 18 months ago, but his first up win for the new QLD barn (Gerald Ryan to D L Freedman) proves he’s still got the zest for racing. And he’s had excuses his two runs since.
The ride second up from B Loy was just rubbish. Plain and simple. Went way too early, covered far too much ground. And the draw, the wide trip stifled his dash late at 1800m last start.
He is a class above these plus he gets a claim. And with that in mind I expect they’ll utilise it and have him closer to offset the rail position He’s good enough to do that at 7 furlongs in a race void of pace where I expect he’ll work across and stalk the only leader #9 who draws two under him.
Best of the day.
The Shark’s Tip
2. Bottega
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Canterbury, Race 1 – 1. Nyika
Interestingly shaped early market for the opener.
Wide open outside the two vying for favouritism. Both of which come out of the same race.
Obviously the push for Ain’t He Grand comes from Macdonald taking over from Alysha Collett. But the better run in the race was Emancipist.
He was well supported there when flashing home late behind Sawrey who has run well again since. Then he was solid in the market just last week when he ran into the very smart Perfect Thought.
They’ve gone for the 7 day back up here, which smells a bit of desperation rather than a well constructed plan, so we are looking to one at value, from a barn with a very different approach.
Nyika is a 4yo gelding, who has to carry the 59kg here, but he is bred for exactly these types of conditions. Medaglia D’oro out of a Redoute’s mare. Lightly raced, 1550m, 2nd up on a heavy track.
He attacked the line strongly on debut over 1550m on a heavy when runner up to Devil Racer which went on to perform well in stakes grade and has form around Jalmari who is knocking on the door again after a good run in the Highway Saturday. Went to the G2 Tulloch after that where he never got hot and was tipped straight out.
Travelled strongly to the corner when resuming but had plenty of chaos in front of him, only beaten a length and a half and probably should have run into the placings.
That was at 1400m, gets back to the 1550m here, on a surface he handles, profiles beautifully for one out of the Anthony Cummings barn who are renowned for throwing them in the deep end, but also with a knack for timing.
Best roughie of the day.
The Shark’s Tip
1. Nykia
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Sandown, Race 1 – 3. Beradino
Two horses vying for top billing here, both very good runs first up, but we are leaning to the Busuttin and Young colt here.
You won’t miss him in the run, he is one good looking rooster.
Started silly odds on debut. Dwelt off the one after being in the machine a while. Got trucking mid race when the leader backed off before that same horse skipped clear and gave them too much to catch.
This colt had to be dragged across heels, lost ground, then charged at the line once he saw clear air.
He’s a pretty exciting prospect. Melham sticks. A lot to like.
The Shark’s Tip
3. Beradino
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Canterbury, Race 2 – 1. Silvanito
Probably a little bit skinny in early markets but it is very hard to go past him and if ever there is a horse bred to get through this ground, this is it.
His pedigree is pretty impressive, especially when you profile it for a wet track given his dam sire and grand dam sire are two of the greatest wet track sires in this country of all time.
The dam was a lightly raced stakes grade mare by Commands, whose mother was a G1 Salinger winner by Canny Lad. Which is mind blowing for this sort of track.
This bloke had no business running top 3 on debut at the furlong then attacked the line late. Draws inside again here, in an early race, where you are sure he will relish the ground, and J H Bowman stays on. A lot of ticks.
Not exactly a thin race, but he is up to this and better.
The Shark’s Tip
1. Silvanito
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Sandown, Race 6 – 14. Botany
I’ve got a bit of a crush on this girl after her last win where she saved what could have been a very ugly day.
She was super on that occasion, first up, running down a horse that they pulled off a plunge on first up and is very underrated.
Draw is not ideal with the rail out and the early market has taken a set against her on account of the draw. But she was going to go back anyway. Three of the emergencies draw underneath her. And we are on the Hillside circuit with its long run home and she steps up in trip.
She is very classy and she can negate the minuses.
The Shark’s Tip
14. Botany
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Best Bet – 2. Bottega (Eagle Farm, Race 2)
Next Best – 3. Beradino (Sandown, Race 1)
Best Roughie – 1. Nyika (Canterbury, Race 1)
