We have studied the form from all races across the country for Wednesday, March 22, and provided our best horse racing tips.
It was The Soothsayer that warned ‘Beware the Ides of March’, and whilst our fate wasn’t as bad as that of Julius Caesar’s, the middle weeks of the month have been pretty damn brutal.
The one highlight was the dominant win of our good thing in the Ranvet Stakes on Saturday, Dubai Honour, who looks set to add plenty of interest to the Weight for Age middle distance features this Autumn.
Then there was The Slipper, which although didn’t go our way in the final 50m, we did enjoy a good run in transit for most of the carnival after securing $51 about Cylinder before his campaign kicked off.
From the thrills (and unfortunately more spills) of feature racing back to the midweek meetings, we are even more firmly focused on the task at hand after a lean week as we look to refill the cunning kick at Randwick, Doomben and Strathalbyn.
We have made five selections in total and are confident that we have found you some winners! So, read on below to find our best horse racing tips for this Wednesday, March 22.
Randwick-Kensington, Race 3 – 6. Queen Yuna ($14/$4.20)
The stable are in a rich vein of form, with three winners in a week mid March.
This Vancouver mare has had just the two starts to date, running into Edna on debut who now has multiple wins to her name. And then copping a white hot Sports Legend last start.
He is of Stakes potential so there is no shame in chasing him home.
She drew soft there, but did plenty of chasing as the winner carved out hot sectionals over 1100m.
Gets to 1300m, and I don’t think there’s anything in this race of the quality of the galloper she met last start and got run off her legs by.
This is a lot easier and she is big odds.
The Shark’s Tip
6. Queen Yuna ($14/$4.20)
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Randwick-Kensington, Race 4 – 1. Headwall ($2.35)
This is his stiffest test to date but I’m confident he is up for it.
A bit of pilot error in the first up defeat, then always travelled like the winner to score in dominant fashion second up.
There are a few handy ones in this, and he has to carry the 59kg. But he’s drawn well, stays with his regular rider who knows him best, and I like the fact they have stayed at the 1000m again.
Should get a gun run, and still be able to quicken better than them over the short course in spite of the weight.
The Shark’s Tip
1. Headwall ($2.35)
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Strathalbyn, Race 7 – 5. Foreign Legion ($101/$20)
Great to see trainers and owners throwing their support behind the National Apprentice Race Series as it shifts to SA this week.
The aspiring hoops will have their work cut out here trying to navigate their way around the tricky Strathalbyn circuit through a full field on BM58 milers. Most of which have had plenty of chances.
I’ve long held the belief that a maiden is more often a harder race to win than a 58 rater, and I almost exclusively subscribe to the theory that I’d rather back a horse going out to a trip for the first time, than I would one that has had many chances over ground.
Most of these have had plenty of turns, and they don’t win out of turn. And there is just one last start winner in the field, and that was over further, and in an easier class.
With that in mind we default to the lightly raced Grant Young 5YO gelding here with NT Apprentice Ian Luximon on board.
Still a maiden but I liked what he did late last start after sitting deep throughout and attacking the line over the final stages.
He covered closer to 1300m that day so the jump straight to the mile shouldn’t be an issue, and he is out of a son of Redoute’s Choice in Panzer Division who showed plenty of promise as a staying type before injury waylaid his on track career.
I’ve seen enough of young Ian late on a Saturday evening at Fannie Bay, or from behind tinted glasses once the panadol kicks in by mid afternoon on a Sunday when they jump in the first at Alice Springs, to know he’ll give this every chance and won’t miss it late.
Expecting an open market, and the lightly raced galloper here might have more of a future than the lot of them combined.
The Shark’s Tip
5. Foreign Legion ($101/$20)
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Doomben, Race 6 – 2. Dark Chill ($2.40)
Seemed to resent being cluttered up inside horses on debut.
Really liked his final 100m, and his trials, plus there was plenty of support for him first up from a barn that gets it right more often than not.
Byrne stays on board, and goes to the 1350m.
Will be better for the experience.
The Shark’s Tip
2. Dark Chill ($2.40)
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Randwick-Kensington, Race 8 – 9. Cholante ($7.00/$2.50)
The eventual winner rolled out in front of her when she commenced her run resuming.
It probably wouldn’t be enough to deter an older galloper, but for a lightly raced filly there was enough in it to say she can be forgiven for a bob of the head defeat in a three way go.
She attacked the line strongly once she commenced her second run and the extra 50m here looks ideal.
Imagine she’ll land somewhere similar and she has proven she has no trouble with the surface and has enough of a turn of foot to carve out a closing section.
Undefeated second up, and you are getting a better price here with McDonald honouring Godolphin commitments and Schiller taking over.
The Shark’s Tip
9. Cholante ($7.00/$2.50)
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Best Bet – 1. Headwall (Randwick-Kensington, Race 4)
Next Best – 2. Dark Chill (Doomben, Race 6)
Best Roughie – 6. Queen Yuna (Randwick-Kensington, Race 3)
*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of Dabble.
