We have studied the form from all races across the country for Wednesday, February 1, and provided our best horse racing tips.
A pinch and a punch for the first day of the month would certainly be better than the kick in the guts we copped Saturday.
Three scratchings on race morning after many hours of pouring over the form, then a $1.60 pop scratched behind the gates, which just left us with Forbidden Love, in the feature Expressway Stakes.
If 4 out of 5 failing to make it to the gates wasn’t bad enough, the dual Group 1 winning mare that was the hope of the side went awful, pulling up 4 out 5 lame and has since been retired to stud.
That is racing as they say, and they are on again next Saturday, but in the meantime we will do our best and hope for a change of luck at a respectable midweek card across the three eastern state meetings of Canterbury, Warnnambool, and Doomben.
We have made five selections in total and are confident that we have found you some winners! So, read on below to find our best horse racing tips for this Wednesday, February 1.
Canterbury, Race 1 – 4. The Little Pumper ($2.25)
The +8m rail and a very gloomy forecast for Sydney leading into the Canterbury Park meeting tells us race fitness and on pace runners are key here.
This 2YO Shalaa colt gets two big ticks there after two solid runs to kick off his career.
Raced handy then knocked up late on debut over the 1000m in the Inglis Nursery. Then a vastly improved effort at the 1200m last start when looking to lead all the way.
He was in it for a long way, and up for the fight when challenged. Just claimed late, but a decent margin to third and beyond.
Tim Clark reunites here and there is no better front running rider in the business than him.
Expect this to be a trying 1200m, and he has a distinct edge over his rivals here in terms of race fitness.
That should prove the difference.
The Shark’s Tip
4. The Little Pumper ($2.25)
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Canterbury, Race 2 – 6. Alfano ($4.60)
Just hoping he can land a bit closer from the good draw and over the 1580m trip here, and think he can power over the top of them late under the light weight.
He has finished off strongly his last pair after doing a bit wrong in the run. Has to handle the jump from 1200m to a mile on a testing track, but it is a soft mile at Canterbury and he should get a smoother run from the gate, and there aren’t many riding better in the country than Tyler Schiller at present.
The top weight looks hard to beat, but leaning toward the Alfano at the weights, ahead of it, and the stablemate.
The Shark’s Tip
6. Alfano ($4.60)
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Warrnambool, Race 2 – 1. Credible Analyses ($4.80/$1.95)
Prepared to take a punt on the top weight being able to roll the Oaks placed race favourite first up.
There is no doubt Queen Air is a talented filly but I thought the Moroney runner was very good on debut before producing a sound effort 2nd up in a hot race.
This gelding was never on the track from a bad draw for Nolen when having his first start. I doubt that will be the case here for Johnny Allen from the gun draw.
He’s by globe trotting middle distance star Highland Reel, so the 1300m first up suits, and he meets a very moderate field at set weights after going very close from just two tries.
Not much in it outside the top 2 in the betting. The Moroney stable strike at 22% when they venture to The ‘Bool, and nobody knows the joint better than J Allen.
Can get it done at odds.
The Shark’s Tip
1. Credible Analyses ($4.80/$1.95)
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Canterbury, Race 3 – 1. Hollywood Hero ($4.20)
Happy to carry the weight here with James McDonald up.
This horse should have won on debut after apprentice rider Dylan Gibbons elected to hand up the fence and allowed other runners to cross him down the back, only to find himself held up at a crucial stage in the race.
A rookie error you won’t get from J-Mac. Expect he’ll cross and sit outside the 7.
Can atone.
The Shark’s Tip
1. Hollywood Hero ($4.20)
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Doomben, Race 8 – 1. Head Legislator ($8.00/$2.75)
He has the top weight for good reason.
Would absolutely demolish this lot if he is anywhere near right and a luckless run first up after a year off tells you he might not be that far away.
He was quite fresh there, and raced handy, but just had nowhere to go late over the unsuitable trip.
The 1350m is his ideal distance range having won his maiden over 1300m and recorded a hands down victory over the winner of the $2 million Invitation, Promise of Success, at 1400m.
He also went within a length of Wisdom of Water in the Wyong 3 & 4YO Guineas and that horse is multiple stakes placed in the Sunshine State as well as a winner of a million dollar race on the Gold Coast.
That all augurs well you would have to think for a Class 2 race at Doomben during the week.
The Shark’s Tip
1. Head Legislator ($8.00/$2.75)
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Best Bet – 4. The Little Pumper (Canterbury, Race 1)
Next Best – 1. Head Legislator (Doomben, Race 8)
Best Roughie – 1. Credible Analyses (Warrnambool, Race 2)
*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of Dabble.