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We have studied the form from all races across the country for Saturday, September 30, and provided our best horse racing tips.
It’s Grand Final day in Melbourne which means no metro meeting in Victoria and if history tells us anything, the Mornington meeting should be avoided this weekend like you should avoid anyone that you are remotely acquainted with that supports Collingwood.
With that in mind we drill into the Randwick meeting which features, amongst other highlights, the Epsom and Metropolitan Handicaps, which although G1’s in their own right, are more like Semi-Finals for a couple of big Spring carnival race days ahead.
We also head to Eagle Farm for our best of the day which hopefully will get punters on the right leg early in proceedings in what promises to be a big weekend both on and off the track.
We have made five selections in total and are confident that we have found you some winners! So, read on below to find our best horse racing tips for this Saturday September 30.
Eagle Farm, Race 3 – 3. Action King ($3.20)
Bombed the start on debut before Orman got it all right and put them away effortlessly 2nd up.
This is a step up but he only takes on his own age and he does look one of the more promising 3YO’s on the Bris circuit at present.
The others have a bit of form around the stable mate Borrelli who is handy, it has duel accepted, but Schweida has opted to split them, and kept the colt for the Saturday metro race whilst the gelding targets the Friday night feature at the Sunshine Coast.
We are making him our best of the day which can hopefully get punters off to a good start.
The Shark’s Tip
3. Action King ($3.20)
Randwick, Race 6 – 3. Tropical Squall ($7.50/$2.30)
Just like we saw the famed Waterhouse ‘bone and muscle’ come to the fore last Saturday with Alligator Blood in the Group 1 Underwood Stakes, I am anticipating a repeat dose here in the Group 1 Flight Stakes for 3YO fillies.
Tropical Squall did a great job when stepping out of midweek grade into the Group 2 Tea Rose stakes last start setting them a merry dance in front over 1400m before a couple of fitter and sharper fillies were able to reel her in late over that trip.
Gets to the mile here which she is bred for and further, strips fitter, drawn well and should get her own way in front.
She has come in for good support on the back of that run in the VRC Oaks. The good price is gone there, but is still backable there at double figure odds and will be race favourite if she wins this.
Will give a sight.
The Shark’s Tip
3. Tropical Squall ($7.50/$2.30)
Randwick, Race 7 – 10. Zapateo ($6.00/$1.85)
Trialled like a runaway locomotive on both occasions leading into the Sheraco where she was close to the best horse in the race on paper, yet Zac Lloyd elected to ride her like they were trying to coax a six furlong win out of her.
She’s way better than that. Just left flat footed from three pairs back when the pace went on.
McDonald takes over here and suspect he takes full advantage of barrier 3 with the run under her belt.
Not sold on Think About It. The best horse he’s beat so far is Rothfire who isn’t in The Everest discussion and probably wouldn’t start on the top two lines of betting here.
Think she can win this in good style with the right tactics and give the Blue Army a three pronged attack in The Everest.
The Shark’s Tip
10. Zapateo ($6.00/$1.85)
Randwick, Race 8 – 17. Rediener ($15/$4.60)
Felt like a proud sideline soccer dad last start watching this boy come out and win the Bill Ritchie first up.
We found him here as our ‘Best Roughie of the Day’ back when he debuted and narrowly missed at big odds before winning as our ‘Good Thing’ at start number 2 and he has barely let us down since.
Given a peach to the corner by Kathy there but she probably tried to be a bit too cute in sticking to the rail and waiting for the split and things looked like they were going to go pear shaped when the two leaders came back into her lap. To both the horse and rider’s credit, they swallowed their medicine and eased across heels and put a reasonable quality field away very comfortably.
That’s a new dimension to this horse who in the past has needed an uninterrupted run to build momentum and a sure sign of maturity which gives you the sense that he is poised to continue his progression into a genuine Group 1 handicap challenger.
He’s a Group 3 winner at a mile on a big track, he’s a winner 2nd up, and we’ve seen him run belters coming from last, dominating from in front, and now even tucking in behind them and coming with two runs.
Expect Kovalica to run an improved race here but I always suspected he was in for a very light Spring and would be targeted towards the Autumn and as good as I think he is, he doesn’t look fully screwed down which I think you need to be to be winning a Randwick Group 1 mile.
The stable mate is though, given how boldly they rode him first up and how well he won. Look for Kovalica late, but Kathy and Redeiner could be off and gone under 50kg by then.
The Shark’s Tip
17. Rediener ($15/$4.60)
Randwick, Race 9 – 15. Al Aabir ($19/$4.40)
It would have been tough listening to everyone sing the high praises of Jo Moreira in the post raceday wash up last week if you backed this fellow.
Was certainly a Grand Finalist for worst ride of the day, along with Nash Rawiller on Cylinder, yet both seemed immune from criticism by the usual talking heads in the media which only serves as further evidence that you are best served avoiding mainstream sources, and digging a little deeper for quality racing tips such as right here at The Racing Sharks!
Should have won the Colin Stephen which looked like his only path into the field but somehow he has snuck in down at 15 in an 18 horse field and in all likelihood has beaten the handicapper here as he would have copped at least a kilo and a half going off what the penalty they gave the Newcastle Cup winner.
Not thrilled by Jay Ford being up, would have preferred Yendall or Schiller but you can’t be overly picky at 50kg, and he does have an affiliation with the stable as a 4th string rider so you can assume he’s had a leg over him at some point back at home.
The favourite is a stupid price in this given he beat Benaud last start who they had to give a kill back in a Wyong Class 1 two months ago to try and reinvigorate him. And I don’t think there’s anything going better and putting in as consistently as this horse at the minute.
Not at all concerned by the three weeks in a row. Most of his runs early in the prep were only slightly more exerting than a track gallop.
Will be low flying late with the 50kgs at huge odds.
The Shark’s Tip
15. Al Aabir ($19/$4.40)
Best Bet – 3. Action King (Eagle Farm, Race 3)
Next Best – 10. Zapateo (Randwick, Race 7)
Best Roughie – 15. Al Aabir (Randwick, Race 9)
*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of Dabble.