We have studied the form from all races across the country for Saturday, September 2, and provided our best horse racing tips.
A hail storm hitting Warwick Farm on Wednesday afternoon and wiping out the back half of the card for the last metro meeting of Winter served as a timely reminder that we punters are at the mercy of the fickle mistress that is Mother Nature.
An unexpected turn of events there, after what was a reasonably mild bleak season by southern standards, which saw very few washed out meetings and most of the action taking place on reasonably good rated surfaces.
Whilst the calendar tells us Spring has indeed sprung, there will be plenty that need convincing of that this week with top temps of barely 20 in Sydney and Melbourne. Nonetheless, we are hopeful of decent surfaces at both Randwick and Caulfield and we have drilled down into those two quality meetings for this week’s tips.
We have made five selections in total and are confident that we have found you some winners! So, read on below to find our best horse racing tips for this Saturday, September 2.
Randwick, Race 4 – 3. Al Aabir ($21/$5.50)
The Winter Cup winner, 2nd up here, straight to Randwick, after a very solid return in Brisbane.
He had it set up for him there with plenty of pace on up front but still had to swing deepest and let down like a horse that is right back to where he was last campaign.
Short of his best, but can rattle off sectionals as is evident by both his Winter Cup win and his first up run.
At his best on good to soft which he’ll get here.
Could be in for a big Spring. Looks value here.
The Shark’s Tip
3. Al Aabir ($21/$5.50)
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Randwick, Race 6 – 9. Amazonian Lass ($17/$4.20)
These look a very even, and perhaps even limited bunch of fillies going forward.
Essentially two races to pick from here, and I can’t come at the Rosebud which was an 8 horse field with 2L’s separating the lot of them.
Everything went perfect for Autumn Ballet in the Silver Shadow and she only just got there but there did look a few meritable runs in behind her amongst the big field.
Platinum Jubilee is an underrated filly and would have a much better win record if she hadn’t run into Skirt The Law in the Millions and then Cylinder who she made run home in 33.32 to mow her down in the Silver Slipper.
I thought hers was a surprisingly conservative ride first up for a Waterhouse/Bott runner with T Clark aboard off the back of two good trials. She was out of her comfort zone there, but if you liked her run, you had to be impressed by the stable mate who came from behind her and was motoring to the line late as she zoomed by.
Amazonian Lass flies under the radar here coming through unfashionable races with a low profile hoop up but she was the flashing light run if you total up both races.
Sam Clipperton sticks, she strips fitter and stays at 1200m from a better draw, and the stable have had plenty of success with the More Than Ready juveniles including winning a Golden Slipper with the sire himself.
Brings a different form vein and looks to have upside. Each-way price.
The Shark’s Tip
9. Amazonian Lass ($17/$4.20)
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Randwick, Race 7 – 8. Zapateo ($7.00/$2.15)
The first Saturday in Spring and this race has serious Everest feels about it.
Happy to take on the old boys up the top at this stage.
I wasn’t overly impressed by In Secret’s trials, and was left utterly confused by her work on the course proper last Saturday or even how they were allowed on there to do slightly better than evens on the running on race day.
I think Remarque has a bit of quality about him and is a sprinter on the way up, but on form he doesn’t have anywhere near the resume of the two mares.
Bella Nipotina worries me. She was excellent in the Autumn without winning. Superb in the Quokka. Trials inconclusive as most trials in Melbourne are. But that was a tough prep, racing coast to coast across three states. Prepared to see her.
Which leaves Zapateo, and you couldn’t have been more impressed with her trial, or her last campaign.
Two stakes wins, then two Group 1 placings. She has a great fresh record, and thrives on good/soft ground.
Has an adaptable racing pattern, and there is sure to be solid pace on here.
Clear top pick, and we are going with her as the best of the day.
The Shark’s Tip
8. Zapateo ($7.00/$2.15)
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Caulfield, Race 9 – 10. Osipenko ($10/$3.00)
Scratched from the much weaker Tramway in Sydney. Surprised they didn’t roll the dice there in spite of the poor draw, but it would seem they are happy enough to head to Melbourne which tells you they are at least keen to get him on the opposite leg indicating they might have a better target than this race in mind for him down the line.
Looks a genuine Epsom contender for mine which would pave the way into a Cox Plate at 4YO (been done by this stable before with a horse named Winx) so there could be something in that for future market players.
Gapped them in the Frank Packer at the end of last prep, then he was the run of the race outside of the winner when resuming in the Winx Stakes.
He would seem to have his work cut out here on paper, but Fangirl would be in this up to her ears given she ran race favourite I Wish I Win to a wart on the end of her lip in the Golden Eagle.
Each-way odds, and stick with him whatever he does.
The Shark’s Tip
10. Osipenko ($10/$3.00)
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Randwick, Race 10 – 10. Pereille ($6.50/$2.30)
Nice win when resuming a gelding then just got a minute off them at Sandown 2nd up.
Bombed the start on a filthy leaders track 3rd up. Effort was full of merit.
Struck a fairer surface at The Valley last start and smoked them.
Very talented galloper. Like the idea of keeping him on his toes by shifting him state to state as he can have a think about things.
Will relish the big track at Randwick. In form, and starting to live up to his potential.
Be shocked if he doesn’t go on with things now.
The Shark’s Tip
10. Pereille ($6.50/$2.30)
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Best Bet – 8. Zapateo (Randwick, Race 7)
Next Best – 9. Amazonian Lass (Randwick, Race 6)
Best Roughie – 3. Al Aabir (Randwick, Race 4)
*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of Dabble.
