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We have studied the form from all races across the country for Saturday, September 17, and provided our best horse racing tips.
Plenty on paper to once again like about both the Sydney and Melbourne race cards, but as we go to print, you simply cannot find Sydney, let alone its racing headquarters Royal Randwick, beneath the cloud mass on the rain radar.
They absolutely destroyed that track a fortnight ago which was just sewing its roots again after a long winter. That was at a +7m rail. Back in, and back in hard to the true, which hasn’t had a gallop on it for 6 weeks, and with rain about and the scarring at the 7m pad, it sets up for an absolute race to the outside rail kind of day.
We would generally avoid that like the plague, however there are two there that are simply too good to go past, but certainly more confident with our Caulfield selections this week.
We have made five selections in total and are confident that we have found you some winners! So, read on below to find our best horse racing tips for this Saturday, September 17.
Caulfield, Race 4 – 2. Aft Cabin
No idea what they were thinking the other day coming back in trip to that race but this stable do have some weird ideas at times.. Maybe they wanted a look at Caulfield? The only explanation.
Either way, he went super. Ridden too close on account of the step back in trip and the inside draw, but still managed to beat all but one, Jacquinot, who is right up there with the best of this lot when he puts it all together.
Aft Cabin, urged along, angled off the fence and flushed out early proved his perfect bunny.
There’s no Jacquinot in this. Back to 1400m.
Should just win!
The Shark’s Tip
2. Aft Cabin
Randwick, Race 5 – 7. O’President
The punters have certainly gone after the two on pacers as soon as markets open in the 5 and 7. I think both will be ideally suited by the conditions here, but we are leaning to the 7 for this one.
Always hard to go past the traditional Waterhouse ‘bone ‘n’ muscle’ on these types of tracks, but if there is one stable that has rivalled it, particularly with fresh horses over the past five years or so, it is the Bjorn Baker yard.
Add to that, regular Waterhouse rider Rachel King getting the leg up here and even Blind Freddy could work out what the tactics are going to be.
King v Clark, Baker v Waterhouse/Bott, a bit like splitting match sticks but the win over Taksu, the two runs beaten less than 6L by Mazu, and those two latest trials! Wow.
Great wet track record, will lead or co-lead. The 1400m a risk first up off two 900m trials if it is bottomless, but if it is just a wet track with an established on pace pattern, I think he has the wood on the 5 who has been up a long while and had a hard campaign.
The Shark’s Tip
Caulfield, Race 8 – 2. Zapateo
The market is heavily weighted toward the Group 3 Cockram Stakes form, so let’s take it on.
Not just for the sake of taking it on, but for the fact the winner, Chain of Lightning, who is favourite in this race here, came through restricted grade races, one against her own age, the other a Benchmark race, and prior to that she fell in two prior in an Inverell maiden.
Red hot favourite in that race, the highly touted Passive Aggressive hasn’t been seen since because it went straight to the paddock. Isotope who is the highest rated horse in this race, went absolutely awful against a field she should have touched up if anywhere near right.
The Godolphin mare, Zapateo, on the other hand could not have won any better, spacing a Group 2 winner in Jamaea who has run well since, along with Sky Command who performed well behind one of the most exciting horses in the country in Shades of Rose next up.
That form absolutely towers over the race favourite. Forget she went around last start, even though she was only beaten 6L in atrocious conditions by Eduardo on a track she was never comfortable in.
Had the audacity to go with them to the corner there, before the wheels spun which is a fair indication of what she is about.
Genuine mare, genuine talent, gets back on a dry. Second best horse in the race on exposed form and best quality horse on formlines.
James Cummings trains, D Oliver steers, and she’s on the third/fourth line of betting?
The Shark’s Tip
Randwick, Race 8 – 6. Classique Legend
So here we are tipping a horse for the ‘Best Roughie of the Day’ that won the world’s richest horse race on turf three back, got beaten in said race by a hair over 2L’s last start, and in between had a start in the most prestigious sprint race in Hong Kong for a trainer who couldn’t work him out.
The price is madness.
Les Bridge has won just about everything worth winning, normally at a price. And if you think for a second they’d be paying up again for an Everest if this bloke was going no good, you have rocks in your head.
Came out with a zest to race in his trial, restrained and happy to camp off them on a circuit he’s never seen before with the hats out, and held his ground for 3rd without ever being pushed along. Lost and Running finished behind him, and is half his quote.
3 from 5 first up, 4 from 9 the track, 2 from 3 the track and distance, and McEvoy is prepared to stay solid.
Eduardo had a gut buster first up, Nature Strip trialled well on the bridle but has to do it under race conditions after being not long back from an overseas campaign, and Masked Crusader missed a run after scratching.
No doubt this is a target race for Mazu working off the Redzel pattern, but Redzel did hit this with an extra run and a win under his belt. Mazu is the one most likely for mine, happy to take on the two old warriors
Take an each way ticket the grey, and save on Mazu.
The Shark’s Tip
6. Classique Legend
Caulfield Race 9 – 6. Rocketing By
Don’t let this horse get under your guard late.
Very talented gelding who won a million dollar Inglis Sprint over a future Golden Rose and Caulfield Guineas winner in Ole Kirk. There was a quiet push around to suggest he had come back in good order after knee surgery.
Market didn’t support that theory first up where he crabbed and let down like a horse who had been used to hurting.
No such dramas 2nd up with a bit of confidence under his belt where he looked right back to his best motoring home from last for a fast finishing third in the G3 Show County.
Complete forget run in the Concorde where he was outclassed and you struggled to find him in the conditions.
His best work happens on good to slow tracks which he will get in Melbourne as opposed to in The Shorts in Sydney where he has dual accepted. But there’s something to be said for the fact they paid up for that race which is rather hot.
Drawn the 2, not ideal on a track where you need to be out and travelling like Caulfield, but he’s hard fit, and has a high quality sprint, so we will leave that to D Oliver to work out…
As much as $41 bet about him Thursday for a horse that is loaded with ability, shown something this prep, and they are travelling to find the right track.
Could be a big play late in the day.
The Shark’s Tip
6. Rocketing By
Best Bet – 2. Aft Cabin (Caulfield, Race 4)
Next Best – 2. Zapateo (Caulfield, Race 8)
Best Roughie – 6. Classique Legend (Randwick, Race 8)