We have studied the form from all races across the country for Saturday, October 22, and provided our best horse racing tips.
Yet another one-two punch this week that Tim Tszyu would be proud of as Sydney and Melbourne go toe to toe again on a two state card that can only be considered a unanimous victory for race fans the country over.
Most would agree that The Everest meeting at Royal Randwick now has it on points over Caulfield Cup day. And whilst Cox Plate day was generally considered a knockout blow for Racing Victoria, the team at Racing New South Wales have kept picking themselves up off the canvas and clawing their way back into this contest on the last Saturday in October.
The Group 1 Spring Champion, a traditional lead up to the Victoria Derby, has now been complimented by the addition of The Invitation. A rich $2 million race for the girls. Whilst the 3YO’s get their chance to have a crack at a million dollars in prize money in the Group 2 Callander-Presnell.
A race created as a homage to two of the turf’s greatest ever scribes, both personal heros of mine, and rather handy tipsters in their own right. So let’s hope we can pay Kenny and Max back for all those years of service by doing the punter’s a good turn of our own.
We have made five selections in total and are confident that we have found you some winners! So, read on below to find our best horse racing tips for this Saturday, October 22.
Moonee Valley, Race 3 – 9. Great Barrier Reef ($7.00/$4.20)
Stiff behind Giga Kick last start. How’s that for a statement?
Don’t think he would have won, but should have run a clear 3rd and halved his margin behind The Everest winner.
D Lane got held up at some key stages for this colt’s first look down the Flemington straight, which was a stark contrast to the bullish ride from Bowman in his maiden win the start prior. J Mac is up here who has a long and successful partnership with this set of heavy hitting colours.
Big fan of Shalailed who exceeded my expectations in the G3 Blue Sapphire last start after being nominated and washed out from an inordinate amount of low benchmark races in NSW. He is very talented but I think he was flattered by the conditions that day.
Anticipating this will be rain affected, but hopefully not horrendous. It all depends on what happens during the meeting when the track is opened up on Friday night which always has been, and always will be a terrible idea.
A middling soft range and stick with this bloke. I think he’s the more talented of the pair. But if it is bog heavy, the O’Shea runner is your bet.
The Shark’s Tip
9. Great Barrier Reef ($7.00/$4.20)
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Moonee Valley, Race 4 – 12. Greece ($3.30)
The Greeks haven’t had much to cheer about of late.
Their best tennis player is a dud and a sook, their economy is about as lively as roadkill, and even their Rugby League team is about to be bundled out of the World Cup in straight sets.
But this filly might just be the hope of the side.
Heavily specked in Golden Slipper betting off a couple of gun trials. Plenty of bad judges wanted to pot her when she didn’t aim up on debut in the Reisling on a Heavy10.
But you should always forgive a good horse one bad run. Especially in a quagmire. And she proved she is precisely that when she absolutely smoked them at Geelong.
A step up in grade here, no doubt, but she appears to have had it from the start. Just circumstances conspired against her on debut. Jamie Kah certainly thinks so anyway as she has stuck here. The stable certainly agree, and you would hope they’ve got some idea given they tasted G1 glory with her full sister, Loving Gaby.
Should just be winning, and go on to contest better races in the spring.
The Shark’s Tip
12. Greece ($3.30)
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Moonee Valley, Race 7 – 8. Berardino ($14/$3.50)
It’s not every day you tip a maiden in a Group 2, but here we go.
It is silly season after all, and if you are going to do it, it is in these spring 3YO races as they get out over their right trip.
Not sure he is your traditional colt heading to a VRC Derby through the Vase, in fact I’d be inclined to say the 2040m will well and truly see him out, but he is certainly brilliant enough to sneak this around ‘The Valley’.
Kicked off in an unsuitable race on the synthetic, then went super 2nd up at Sandown when he ran into a smart galloper.
Forgive and forget the Aft Cabin Guineas Prelude where you couldn’t see them even if they had a flashing beacon on and were wearing hi-vis. Still went pretty good.
My guess is that they would have been a bit kind on him out of that race. And it showed, when he railed through and looked the winner upon straightening in the Super Impose only to peak on his run.
He has shown better dash than that before, albeit in patches. But that may well make him an ideal Valley horse.
Would have liked to have seen him not drawn quite as sticky, but he’s got Nash up so let’s have a go and back the man they reckon looked busier on them than a Fried Rice Chef when he was riding in Hong Kong, to boot this fella home down the short run home at Moonee Valley.
The Shark’s Tip
8. Berardino ($14/$3.50)
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Royal Randwick, Race 7 – 1. Golden Mile ($1.75)
The old adage that a good colt will always beat a good filly has come back to the field somewhat over recent years, particularly given the fact the best four horses of the modern era have all been female. But it still does generally still ring true in the juvenile and ‘Classic’s’ age groups.
There really only looks one danger to the Godolphin colt here and that is the Gerald Ryan trained filly. And we are talking about a Caulfield Guineas winner meeting a stakes winner just out of maiden grade at set weights.
She is highly talented and probably has better wet stats than him, but hers have come in much easier grade.
You would only need to see a track with some kind of traction to it by now, and he’s basically a good thing.
The Shark’s Tip
1. Golden Mile ($1.75)
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Randwick, Race 8 – 5. Matcha Latte ($13/$3.60)
Unsure whether to feel a bit unlucky, fairly angry, or just outright lying down in the foetal position sick after getting rolled in the Gloaming.
Bombed the start from the outside draw, overraced, travelled deep throughout, hit the front way too soon, buffeted about late, and missed by a lip in a three way go.
Tom Sherry stays on which is a genuine concern, but this horse should have beat Sharp ‘N’ Smart last start and he is half the quote.
I hadn’t imagined anything from the Caulfield Guineas field could have gotten close to Golden Mile, but they did. (He should still be too good to win the previous race) But that tells us the toppy is pretty handy as are a number of these. But they are different types of horses who have been targeting a very different race and this will be run on a very different surface.
Five or six really quality three year olds here, all of which could win this and/or the VRC Derby/Oaks. But I definitely think Matcha Latte is worth a play at the odds.
The Shark’s Tip
5. Matcha Latte ($13/$3.60)
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Best Bet – 1. Golden Mile (Royal Randwick, Race 7)
Next Best – 12. Greece (Moonee Valley, Race 4)
Best Roughie – 5. Matcha Latte (Randwick, Race 8)
*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of Dabble.
