We have studied the form from all races across the country for Saturday, November 4, and provided our best horse racing tips.
Million dollar “features” seem to pop up like acne on a 4kg claiming apprentice these days, but nothing, and I mean nothing, will ever replace the tried and true tradition of Derby Day in Victoria.
Nothing but fond memories of being trackside Day 1 at Flemington, then again if racing teaches us one thing, it is that sentimentality is worth about as much as getting three legs in the Quaddie, or first, second, and fourth in a trifecta.
With that in mind, we drill down hard into both the traditional Flemington Derby Day meeting this Saturday as well as try to find a couple of winners at odds in the recently created Golden Eagle meeting with a Rosehill Gold Cup accompaniment.
We have made five selections in total and are confident that we have found you some winners! So, read on below to find our best horse racing tips for this Saturday, November 4.
Flemington, Race 3 – 11. Dancing Alone ($4.20)
Very, very good mare this and I don’t think they’ve got anywhere near the bottom of her yet.
Given a look down the straight over the 1100m in restricted grade. They then went to the weak midweek Caulfield Saturday stakes meeting for an easy kill where she still did a bit wrong but blew them away.
This is a well thought out, well executed prep in order to get a stakes win.
Has tactical speed plus a serious turn of foot when allowed to build momentum. Ideal for straight course racing.
The sky’s the limit for her and this will be the first of many black type wins for this girl.
The Shark’s Tip
11. Dancing Alone ($4.20)
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Flemington, Race 4 – 7. Spacewalk ($4.80/$1.95)
Really good race but I still think he’s the best horse in the race on ability.
Has got the blows, probably based on the fact they have stuck with Jamie Kah, which is fair enough given she’s ridden just one winner since the 2nd October which was a benchmark race at Moe.
She didn’t do too much wrong though last time out, just the draw and tactics in a small field cost her.
She’s due, and if the horse brings his A game he’ll win this.
The Shark’s Tip
7. Spacewalk ($4.80/$1.95)
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Flemington, Race 6 – 2. Cylinder ($4.60/$1.90)
I thought he went super in The Everest. Just two brain dead decisions by James Cummings probably cost him any real shot of winning.
If only he put as much thought into the gear changes for his horses, as he does into his hat selection on race day.
Blinkers first time in a $20 million dollar race onto a horse that had been winning, and then legging up an apprentice rider who had never sat on him under race conditions.
He just travelled too strongly in the run and then didn’t box on like he normally does, most likely because he wouldn’t have been able to see the other horses coming.
There’s nothing in this race that would get within a length of the first two over the line from The Everest which is what they need to be to beat this colt.
Will get the accolades he deserves here as the best sprinter of his age group for the past two seasons.
The Shark’s Tip
2. Cylinder ($4.60/$1.90)
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Rosehill, Race 8 – 7. Osipenko ($10/$3.30)
All the attention is around the stablemate leading into this.
I found it very hard to split them but I just think Kovalica will have too much to do around Rosehill from the draw at 1500m.
There’s naturally some handy gallopers in this given what is at stake but forgive this horse his one bad run/bad ride this prep and he would nearly start favourite here.
He went enormous first up making good ground from well back in The Winx behind Fangirl. Pass mark 2nd up when buried worse than midfield the fence at Caulfield on a leaders track. Then could have nearly won 3rd up if he had the right back to follow in the Makybe Diva.
Absolute bum ride from Ollie in the Turnbull Stakes sending him forward 3 and 4 deep from the 1000m after landing one off, first go at 2000m for the prep.
There’s three, maybe four genuine open WFA horses in this. They will fight this out. Serious questions about the mare bouncing back and going on the Sydney leg. Question marks Hawaii Five Oh at 1500m, and the draw and the run home beats Kovalica you would think.
Really like him as a horse and at these odds.
The Shark’s Tip
7. Osipenko ($10/$3.30)
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Roseill, Race 9 – 7. Shibli ($12/$3.40)
Been backed as soon as prices come out and rightfully so. You get the impression this horse would run through a brick wall at the moment.
He’s been a pleasure to watch and back this campaign, not having any luck first up, then justifying punter’s faith in that run by coming out and winning his next three.
Remarkably it took him to get over 2150m to win a maiden, and he has spent a heap of time bouncing around the country at the various Waller barns since then trying to find his niche.
Keeping him predominantly at the mile, and domiciled in the one state has worked wonders this time around. And he absolutely warrants a trip back home for a crack at a stakes race on recent form.
Two from four at Rosehill, gets a middle draw which allows him to present when required with C Williams and 52.5kg.
Hard to see him not running a race even with the step up in grade.
The Shark’s Tip
7. Shibli ($12/$3.40)
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Best Bet – 2. Cylinder (Flemington, Race 6)
Next Best – 11. Dancing Alone (Flemington, Race 3)
Best Roughie – 7. Shibli (Rosehill, Race 9)
*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of Dabble.
