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We have studied the form from all races across the country for Saturday, November 19, and provided our best horse racing tips.
The new and improved Spring carnival is in many ways a gift that just keeps on giving, and even though there are signs of it waning as we inch toward a long awaited Summer, we still see quality fields in Victoria with a feature metro meeting at the provincial Ballarat track.
In NSW we see one of the state’s most iconic venues rewarded with a stand alone Saturday meeting and a million dollar feature race all of its own in the form of the ‘The Gong’ at Kembla Grange.
And not to be forgotten up north, this week they shift up the highway for a few high stakes races of their own as Racing Queensland builds towards their lucrative Summer series.
We’ve also pinned down a top pick at Gosford which hosts the NSW provincial meeting, and we head to Fannie Bay in the Top End for a sneaky play late in the day. Because there’s something for everyone here at The Racing Sharks!
We have made five selections in total and are confident that we have found you some winners! So, read on below to find our best horse racing tips for this Saturday, November 19.
Gosford, Race 2 – 3. Semana ($2.70)
With the metro races heading to a regular provincial venue, it’s not the strongest card at Gosford this Saturday, and this is certainly one of their weaker races of the day.
Narrowed it down to two chances, the #1 and the #3.
Pretty impressed by one of Anthony’s leading and winning last start over a short course, very uncommon. But when you go back through her form page, she’s been even, at best, on her fair share of occasions.
And whilst Muswellbrook isn’t traditionally a form hot bed, the win of the Maher/Eustace filly was better than most on debut.
Tracked deep throughout, then given a proper hip/shoulder at the furlong before picking herself up to score comfortably.
Surprised there wasn’t more money for her there, although not surprised the Baker runner started fave as they have had tremendous success at the venue in the past. And certainly buoyed by Gibbons sticking.
He’s about as good a rider as you’ll find on this circuit, and expect he’s pulled the right rein here by sticking with her.
The Shark’s Tip
3. Semana ($2.70)
Kembla Grange, Race 7 – 3. Athelric ($7.00/$2.50)
The old adage is you should always forgive a good horse one bad run. Well we are pleading with you here to give this fellow two. All you have to do is put the pen through the two Flemington runs down the straight.
So unless he lost a leg on the float trip south, let’s just commit to the idea that wasn’t his go.
He was, however, the clear 2nd best run of the race in atrocious conditions first up in the Concorde behind Eduardo. And then I thought he went super 2nd up in The Shorts which was on paper a 7th, beaten a little over 3.5L, but it had the likes of Lost and Running and Mazu only slightly in front of him, and Group 1 winner Masked Crusader finishing off past him late in 6th.
Anyone of those three would be skinny red figures here, and he’s in and around those areas if he’s right. Which it is hard to imagine he isn’t given the fact they’ve kept him up for this.
Does his best racing at Randwick, and this track is almost an overlay of that, minus the rise, which helps a horse that doesn’t run out 1100m there, but a strong 1000m is his niche.
The Shark’s Tip
3. Athelric ($7.00/$2.50)
Kembla Grange, Race 8 – 11. Oscar Zulu ($15/$4.60)
Understandably solid race given there’s a million dollars in stakes on offer but I really like this guy on his own merits, not to mention the price.
Double figures is just madness for a horse who is a genuine Saturday open handicapper that has been stakes placed at 1400m and 1600m and was a recent winner first up.
He’s yet to win at 1600m, but the Rowley Mile run before the break tells you he is thereabouts in black type company. And the victory over Coal Crusher first up in the Goulburn Cup who came out and lowered the colours of the boom horse Waihaha Falls last week tells you he’s come back well.
Draw not ideal, but I think he runs his best races when he’s able to keep sight of the bunny, so this might force Schofield’s hand here, to the pair’s betterment.
Very backable at each-way odds.
The Shark’s Tip
11. Oscar Zulu ($15/$4.60)
Sunshine Coast, Race 8 – 11. Street Dancer ($11/$3.40)
Very capable former Sydney galloper who campaigned successfully in the Sunshine State for a new barn last prep.
Absolute stranglehold, shutdown job first up who poked in behind them for most of the run before lengthening late, and to be fair, could have easily won the race.
You can only imagine they were saving him for this.
Stable is deadset flying. 12 winners from the last 50 runners.
Halved his quote the minute they opened, just get on and keep buttering up while they are double figure odds.
The Shark’s Tip
11. Street Dancer ($11/$3.40)
Darwin, Race 4 – 1. First Crusade ($2.65)
Chloe Baxter has the best strike rate of any trainer in the Top End, and you could scour the country north to south, or east to west from there and I doubt you’d find a horse person who wouldn’t be green with envy with the numbers she’s been able to achieve in the short time she’s been saddling them up in her own name.
With two gallopers entered on the card, it is highly likely she’ll build on those impressive stats. And whilst it is hard to go past her in form galloper To the Point who has been a revelation since transferring to her care, we are declaring stablemate First Crusade, first up against moderate opposition after a lucrative campaign over the Darwin Cup carnival, as one of our best of the day.
The main danger to the Nicconi gelding who went three from six his last prep, is the Dick Leech trained Early Crow, who not only loses the services of the Alice Springs based Jess Philpot in exchange for P Crich, but also has to run out the 1200m of which he is nought from three and looked very vulnerable late last start over the 1100m.
Hard working, well travelled, and under rated local hoop Casey Hunter sticks with her regular mount here first up which suggests he has come back well.
Looks the play for late in the day.
The Shark’s Tip
1. First Crusade ($2.65)
Best Bet – 11. Street Dancer (Sunshine Coast, Race 8)
Next Best – 1. First Crusade (Darwin, Race 4)
Best Roughie – 11. Oscar Zulu (Kembla Grange, Race 8)
*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of Dabble.