We have studied the form from all races across the country for Saturday, March 18, and provided our best horse racing tips.
It would be easy to say ‘it doesn’t get any better than this’ but we know that is not the case within the modern day racing landscape where we see multiple stakes races, across multiple states, all run within minutes of each other, on multiple dates of the year now.
I’m more of a traditionalist, and originally a Sydneysider, so I would have to say it is close to my personal favourite, and the cards served up across the country this week have done nothing to dampen my opinion.
We’ve drilled deep into the stakes laden Rosehill meeting, whilst also highlighting a couple of short priced, but high quality gallopers who look very well placed in set weights events at both Moonee Valley and Doomben.
We have made five selections in total and are confident that we have found you some winners! So, read on below to find our best horse racing tips for this Saturday, March 18.
Rosehill, Race 5 – 7. Hell I Am ($8.00/$2.70)
Very genuine and very underrated galloper, however it would appear the punter’s are waking up to this as they were quick to knock off his double figure odds and halve his quote once early betting opened.
Struggled with wet tracks early however once his confidence grew he really became adept on them in his second prep, winning three from four and progressing from maiden company to Saturday grade in the same number of starts.
Dominant win to kick off campaign #3 defeating his smart stablemate Shalailed in the Wyong Millions over 1200m.
A fairly sloppy ride where the rider eased early on him and let the leaders skip away over the tight circuit of the Gosford Guineas next time out. Forced to cover ground there on the corner after losing his spot, which ultimately told in the 0.6L margin.
Then drew sticky, at the postponed Gold Coast Guineas race where he was 3 then 4 then 5 deep approaching the corner, but still had the gall to box on for third and be beaten less than half a length again.
Great first up record. Great record at the trip. Stormed home in a recent trial. And gets the services of one of the country’s best riders.
Deserves a Stakes win and capable of achieving higher honours.
The Shark’s Tip
7. Hell I Am ($8.00/$2.70)
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Rosehill, Race 6 – 3. Dubai Honour ($4.00/$2.00)
I thought Gold Trip had it perfectly run to suit first up in a race where the leader’s saddle slipped. He literally doesn’t get warm short of a mile and half under normal race conditions. And the locals have put him up favourite here at the 2000m.
Mo’unga has been good his two runs in, but Mo’unga is Mo’unga, just as Hinged is Hinged. They are both about three quarters of a length off being in the sentences about our genuine top line middle distance horses. And recent history tells us, even our best gallopers in this bracket aren’t up to the second tier European brigade.
William Haggas has form in this area and certainly knows the right horse to bring down under. And this bloke might be the best one yet.
Should have finished in the placings behind the two Japanese runners in the 2021 HK Cup.
Right up to the mark his last 4 runs including being beaten less than 5L in a hot Champion Stakes at Ascot in which two superstars ran 1, 2.
That form is way too good for these.
The Shark’s Tip
3. Dubai Honour ($4.00/$2.00)
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Doomben, Race 6 – 1. Isotope ($2.65)
Horror draw, but I suspect she is far too good for these and can overcome it.
I think they’ll look to be positive as she has run some of her best races, including a 4th in the Stradbroke and a win in the Magic Millions Sprint, when ridden on the pace.
Just ride her like she is the best horse in the race, which she clearly is, and she is good enough to sit 3 deep over the 1100m, and still beat this lot at set weights.
Punters clearly think so, as she has come in for solid support early. And I think they are on the right track.
Looks the best on a strong Doomben card.
The Shark’s Tip
1. Isotope ($2.65)
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Moonee Valley, Race 7 – 2. Alligator Blood ($2.65)
I’m all for innovation in horse racing, but unlike The Everest, which has gone from strength to strength and now attracts the best runners in the world for its race type and conditions, the All Star Mile is really a poor parody of that race and is becoming comical.
We see a field of 15 line up here for a share of a $5 million purse under weight for age conditions, of which only a third would warrant a place in a genuine WFA race that carried similar coin. And of those five, this is a clear race in two.
I’m a huge fan of I’m Thunderstruck, but I genuinely thought he should have gone to a Melbourne Cup last campaign after his slashing second in the Cox Plate. And as much as I’ve championed him this time campaign, he looks equally as dour this time in, albeit able to reel off a hot sectional when circumstances allow.
And that all makes sense, given he is by Shocking. Himself a Melbourne Cup winner, whose next biggest win was back at Flemington over the 2000m in an Australian Cup.
In short, he’ll run a good 2nd to Al here. Who will just be too sharp and too smart for them around the mile of The Valley in a race that is largely made up of imposters.
The Shark’s Tip
2. Alligator Blood ($2.65)
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Rosehill, Race 8 – 5. Cylinder ($4.00)
We’ve tipped him every start to date and whilst he was a little frustrating early on, he always showed the makings of a top line colt. To the extent we even recommended a pre-post speculator on him in the Slipper when he resumed.
He was 50/1 at that stage, and whilst you are shopping much shorter on Grand Final day, there is absolutely no reason to get off.
He’s not only won, he’s won in dominant fashion his two runs this time in, in the two races that are historically the best guide for the big race. The Todman and the Silver Slipper. Beating quality horses on both occasions.
And whilst not much went right his first campaign, basically everything has gone perfectly this time around, so much so, his rider James McDonald even had a suspension reduced so he could fulfil the ride which left you pretty confident he was also going to draw a low number.
Group 1’s are always tough to win and 2YO Group 1’s are next level. But you could not have asked for a better prep, a better draw, and a better rider.
An overwhelming number of ticks against opposition that have all blotted their copy book at some point in the last month.
Very confident.
The Shark’s Tip
5. Cylinder ($4.00)
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Best Bet – 3. Dubai Honour (Rosehill, Race 6)
Next Best – 5. Cylinder (Rosehill, Race 8)
Best Roughie – 7. Hell I Am (Rosehill, Race 5)
*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of Dabble.
