We have studied the form from all races across the country for Saturday, August 27, and provided our best horse racing tips.
Whilst we’ve searched far and wide across the long, bleak winter to find the punter’s plenty of winners, now just a week out from Spring, we need only look to two venues, that being Rosehill and Caulfield, where we are spoiled for choice with a couple of quality cards.
The highlight of the Melbourne card is of course the Group 1 Memsie Stakes, whilst the time honoured starting point for Sydney’s freshman superstars, the San Domenico Stakes, is a mouth watering affair.
We have made five selections in total and are confident that we have found you some winners! So, read on below to find our best horse racing tips for this Saturday, August 27.
Caulfield, Race 5 – 1. Daumier ($8.00/$2.50)
Not sure we are comparing apples with apples for a few of these. Or at least I’m not sure the punters realise they aren’t if the early markets are anything to go by.
The weight scale is heavily biassed towards the top weights in these set weights and penalties races and this is a classic case of it here.
Daumier is the Blue Diamond winner from last season, who also came to Sydney and ran top 4 behind Fireburn and She’s Extreme as well having raced Jacquinot three times and finished in front of him on each occasion.
That horse was without luck in the Diamond but this colt was very strong on the line and I doubt he would have beat him anyway had they levelled up.
He rates 102, gives just a kilo to the next highest rated horse in the race at 80. And meets a race favourite that is coming off a defeat at the midweek races at Warwick Farm before a recent win at Sandown where he looked impressive against very average opposition. That doesn’t hold a candle to the Sydney G1 2yo form.
Plenty of pace drawn either side of him so I expect they can hold him up and come with one run they way they did in the Blue Diamond which resulted in a G1 win.
Silly odds.
The Shark’s Tip
1. Daumier ($8.00/$2.50)
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Rosehill, Race 7 – 4. Two Big Fari ($26/$6.00)
Taking one on trust here as our ‘Best Roughie’ of the day.
It has been a long time between drinks to say the least but there was plenty to like about his last run.
He’s been a month and a month between runs his last two. 1800m back to 1400m. Now he lands in this on a fortnight back up, 1500m, Rosehill, Bm78. The exact same conditions as his last win.
He never seems to draw a gate, but he is as tough a customer as they come and can handle a torrid on pace effort and still find late. Nash helps in that department.
His best form is on firmer tracks but he has shown an inkling towards the cut out of the ground as he gets on.
He owes us a few bucks, but he always has a go. Rawiller suits. And a stupid price if you saw what he did last start.
The Shark’s Tip
4. Two Big Fari ($26/$6.00)
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Rosehill, Race 8 – 3. Shalatin ($9.00/$2.80)
I’m certain we didn’t get to see anywhere near his best last preparation.
Looked the real dark horse heading into the Golden Slipper then was forced to withdraw due to a farrier mishap. Then went around on a bog track in the Sires after missing the traditional lead up run the fortnight prior.
His debut run in the Golden Gift was a ripper. Then got along way back when resuming and repeatedly hampered down the straight when trying to come with a withering run in the Silver Slipper.
They rode him closer in the Todman, where he was already guaranteed a Golden Slipper berth so not sure he was exactly fully wound up that day.
Given two trials into this, his second was in a Maiden trial where he was literally climbing over their backs before letting down nicely to the line.
Group 2 placed over 1200m as well as placed in a Million Dollar race over 1100m first up with a racing pattern ideal for 1300/1400m at 3yo taking on a favourite who has won a midweek maiden and had now excuses when couldn’t pick up the leader in an age restricted Bm72 over 1400m.
Has class. Is value.
The Shark’s Tip
3. Shalatin ($9.00/$2.80)
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Caulfield, Race 7 – 8. Isotope ($7.00/$2.30)
Happy to take on the raging favourite here with this quality mare at each way odds.
Passive Aggressive is an impressive specimen but she steps out first time against older mares, first look at Caulfield, first go on a heavy. She looks the lone leader in a race void of pace. At just start five she’ll have no mate to rate herself off like she has had in her past two runs at Flemington where she has been able to build momentum in a straight line, and on type she just gives the impression that her best trip is going to be further than this.
Isotope is a high quality mare, with $1.2 million in the bank (that’s a million dollars more than the race favourite, Passive Aggressive who has to give her a kilo). She comes off a last start 4th in a Group 1 Stradbroke in which just about all of these wouldn’t get a run. She is 7 starts, 4 wins at the trip. Five starts 3 wins first up. And is equipped with the tactical speed to overcome the sluggish map here and keep herself within striking distance of the leader.
Some suggestion she doesn’t go in the heavy which is unfair. Her only two runs in that sort of ground have both been in Group 1’s. The first off a 9 week break on a quagmire in Shelby Sixtysix’s Galaxy. The other was the next start off a 7 week break when she drew 13/14 in a Doomben 10,000 where she was only beaten 5L by Mazu. I reckon that is nearly good enough to win this!
3 from 3 on the soft. D Oliver to steer. Well and truly each way odds for a mare who it’s hard to imagine won’t run well.
The Shark’s Tip
8. Isotope ($7.00/$2.30)
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Caulfield, Race 8 – 1. I’m Thunderstruck ($8.50/$2.90)
The fact this horse didn’t win a race last prep is almost criminal.
Sure he won plenty of stakes money but they paid the ultimate price for trying to be cute and set him for Grand Finals rather than taking the Group 1’s that were on offer.
He needs a ‘W’, no doubt about it, but he’s far from a ‘nonnie’, at this point in time anyway. And I’m more than happy to see Jye McNeil off his back.
Zahra piloted him in his last start before his spell when he was over the top and gets to start fresh with him here with his own ideas on how to ride him and that could well be the key to tapping into that freakish turn of foot he possesses that saw him mow down a gallant and recently deceased Count De Rupee in a Golden Eagle. Bagging the G1 would be a fitting homage here, although of little consultation to Robert and Luke Price, no doubt.
They opened $5 or better the field for this, which is an accurate indication of how open this race is.
The favourite Alligator Blood has won just one race in two years and never won an Open Weight for Age race.
Second fave Tofane has been going to the well for one more run for two years now.
On the next line, Illation is a listed winner in Adelaide coming out of a race that the runner up fell in at its next start against a horse struggling to break through at Canterbury of a Wednesday and the third horse has been beaten in an 1800m Bm68 since.
This bloke ran second in a Doncaster Mile and ran Zaaki to a length and a half in the All Star Mile.
Forget his first two runs last prep when he drew bad and McNeil showed little interest in an early campaign kill. And judge him on those two efforts plus his Golden Eagle win, and you soon start to see he is the class runner here and over the odds.
The Shark’s Tip
1. I’m Thunderstruck ($8.50/$2.90)
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Best Bet – 1. I’m Thunderstruck (Caulfield, Race 8)
Next Best – 3. Shalatin (Rosehill, Race 8)
Best Roughie – 4. Two Big Fari (Rosehill, Race 7)
*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of Dabble.
