The girls take the main stage for the first Group 1 of a huge Derby Day, with some more mature mares tackling a few rapidly rising fillies in the 2020 Empire Rose Stakes (1600m).Take a look at each and every runner going around! 1 – Mystic Jou...
In a hurry? We’ve listed all the quick facts that you need to know about the Empire Rose Stakes:
|Date||Saturday, 30th October, 2021|
|Racecourse||Flemington Racecourse, Melbourne, Australia|
The Empire Rose Stakes is a Group One race over 1,600m and is held at Flemington Racecourse. The race is run exclusively for fillies and mares aged three or older and is run under weight-for-age conditions with a total prizemoney pool of $1,000,000. This year’s Empire Rose Stakes will be held on Saturday, October 30th and was won by Shout The Bar in 2020.
The Empire Rose Stakes, named after Empire Rose who won both the Mackinnon Stakes and Melbourne Cup in 1988, is run exclusively for fillies and mares, showcasing the exceptional female horse talent that the racing industry has to offer.
Raced under weight-for-age conditions, the race is open and equal for all fillies and mares, aged three years or older, and is part of Victoria Derby Day at the start of the four-day Melbourne Cup week.
With a total prizemoney pool of $1,000,000, this race often attracts some of the best middle-distance fillies and mares, especially given how late it is in the Spring Carnival. The race, being run for the first time in just 1988, was upgraded to Group One status in 2004 and has had some exceptional horses win since then.
Concordance took out the inaugural running in 1988, Miss Potential took out the 2004 event and then Divine Madonna, Typhoon Tracy, Shoals and Melody Belle have each won since then. Shout The Bar won the event in 2020, which was just her second Group One win.
Given the race is still weeks away and the field is not set, we are yet to come up with our Empire Rose Stakes tips for 2021, but be sure to read on below to get all of the information you need to know on the history and formlines for the race.
The Empire Race Stakes is an Australian Group One race that brings some of the best fillies and mares to Flemington Racecourse and it also attracts the attention of many Aussies who like to have a casual punt. Our expert tipsters will put together a short list of Empire Rose Stakes tips to look out for in the leadup to the big race.
Given nominations are yet to be accepted for the 2021 Empire Rose Stakes, it is hard to provide any updates at this time. However, as the Spring Carnival gets going, it will become clearer which fillies and mares have returned in good form and will potentially target this race. If you are after Empire Race Stakes horse tips, then we will keep you informed with which horses are likely to be running, so you can place your futures bets with confidence!
With the high quality talent across our fillies and mares, there are some high priced odds attached to some talented horses. Probabeel is at the top of the markets, priced at $8 after an incredible four-year-old season. The New Zealand bred mare won both the G1 Epsom Handicap and G1 Futurity Stakes while coming a narrow 2nd in the G1 Queen Of The Turf Stakes.
Colette is just behind her at $9 after winning The Golden Eagle and the G2 Apollo Stakes as a four-year-old. Argentia, priced as third-favourite at $11, is the smokey in the field. The three-year-old has raced just once, winning a two-year-old fillies handicap by 1.8 lengths. Behind her is WA-raider Inspirational Girl and the experienced Tofane, both at $12.
We will list The Sharks’ Empire Rose Stakes best tips for the race this year closer to the time of the race. Make sure you check back on this page for updates!
Our tips are not out for the Empire Rose Stakes in 2021 as it is too far out from the event. But the good news is that when the final field for the Empire Rose Stakes is announced, we will provide guidance on each and every runner in the 2021 Empire Rose Stakes.
You will find all this information below, when it becomes available. Stay tuned!
Given it is run exclusively for fillies and mares, the Empire Rose Stakes brings out the best female horses and the $1M on offer attracts a strong field. We have found some key indicators to look out for in the lead up to the race, when looking for your Empire Rose Stakes betting tips.
Is Previous Form in the Empire Rose Stakes a Good Indicator of Future Success?
You may not want to look for previous winners of the race as there is yet to be a mare that has won the race twice. Typhoon Tracy (2009 winner) and Sacred Choice (2010 winner) both came close, winning in one year and then coming second the next.
However, over the last 10 years, there is yet to be a mare that has even finished in the top three on multiple occasions, indicating that the weight-for-age conditions may make it hard to have repeat success in the race.
Should I Bet On The Favourite in the Empire Rose Stakes?
There have been some mixed results of late, making this indicator hard to use as judgement. Shout The Bar won last year when priced as equal-tenth favourite at $31. The favourite in that race, Mystic Journey ($2.70) finished all the way back in 7th.
However, the year before Melody Belle won comfortably as $3.70 favourite. In the three years prior, the winners were third-favourite, favourite and fifth-favourite respectively, being priced between $4.80 and $8.50.
That means that you may not necessarily be better off picking the favourite, given just two of the last five have won the Empire Rose Stakes, however you will always get some juicy odds.
Formlines Heading into the Empire Rose Stakes
Given how late it is in the carnival, winners of the Empire Rose Stakes have had some very different formlines leading into the race. Three of the last four winners have contested the race fourth up, however each of those last four have contested different races in the lead up.
Shoals won in 2017 after running in the Thousand Guineas Prelude and Thousand Guineas in her two prior runs. Shillelagh, 2018’s winner, had contested the Theo Marks, Epsom Handicap and Toorak Handicap before running fourth up in the Empire Rose, but hadn’t won in her lead up preparation.
Melody Belle brought something completely different in 2019, having her four previous runs of the preparation in New Zealand before coming to Australia for the race and winning comfortably.
Shout The Bar contested the 2020 Empire Rose Stakes after being freshened for three weeks, but had a terrible lead up preparation and came out of nowhere, hence the increased odds.
As you can see in the table below, the ages of previous winners have been very even over the last 10 years, with five-year-olds having the slight edge. There is no surprise that the top two in the Empire Rose Stakes odds for 2021, Probabeel and Colette, are both five-year-olds.
When looking just at the last five years, three-year-olds have won two of those, having the edge in that tight time-frame. However, Shout The Bar won as a four-year-old last year, further adding to the confusion in this race.
Here is a table indicating the ages of winners of the Empire Rose Stakes since the 2011 edition:
|Age||# of Wins|
Our Empire Rose Stakes best bets for 2021 are not out just yet, make sure you keep an eye out on this page as we will provide more details about our best bets when the final field is announced.
You will find our best bets below once available. Stay tuned!
Long before the Empire Rose Stakes field is officially announced – online bookies will open early markets, or all-in markets, for Empire Rose Stakes betting. This is prime time to bet on your favourite horse, as you might be able to bet on strong contenders for the 2021 Empire Rose Stakes at double-digit odds.
Given they have already been released, the 2021 Empire Rose Stakes odds will obviously fluctuate frequently in the lead up to the race, especially when we have a better idea of which horses will be targeting the race and their form leading into the race.
Punting early on these markets can find you a favourite at prices of $10 or more, which will retain you a much higher return on investment. However, there is increased risk with doing this and you should be well aware.
Depending on when you place your 2021 Empire Rose Stakes futures bet, your horse may not even run but you won’t get your money back, occurring when the market is ‘All-In’ or closer to the starting date. If you are betting when it says ‘Before Noms’, you have the security of receiving your money back if your horse doesn’t run.
The 2021 Empire Rose Stakes odds are already out and they are currently in ‘before noms’, meaning you’ll get a refund if your horse doesn’t nominate. Be sure to compare these prices between different bookies because, although they usually agree on a horse’s price, you may stumble across much higher odds – with an obvious higher profit involved.
The below table shows the current 2021 Empire Rose Stakes odds as of mid-July, courtesy of Sportsbet:
Given the Group One status and total prizemoney pool of $1,000,000, the Empire Rose Stakes field is often jam packed with the best fillies and mares from both Australia and New Zealand. The final Empire Rose Stakes field for 2021 will be announced at the barrier draw, which will be held on Wednesday, October 27th.
With the 2021 Empire Rose Stakes field yet to be determined, let’s take a look back at the 2020 field, headlined by winner Shout The Bar:
|1. Mystic Journey (57kg)||5||Kerrin McEvoy||Adam Trinder|
|2. Nettoyer (57kg)||8||Glen Boss||Wendy Roche|
|3. Madam Rouge (57kg)||12||James McDonald||Chris Waller|
|4. Pretty Brazen (56.5kg)||6||Luke Currie||T & C McEvoy|
|5. Vanna Girl (56.5kg)||1||Hugh Bowman||T & T Edmonds|
|6. Shout The Bar (56.5kg)||11||Damien Oliver||G Waterhouse & A Bott|
|7. Asiago (56.5kg)||2||Mark Zahra||James Cummings|
|8. Missile Mantra (56.5kg)||9||Damian Lane||P & P Snowden|
|9. Felicia (56.5kg)||10||Craig Williams||Dean Binaisse|
|10. She Shao Fly (56.5kg)||3||Jamie Kah||Kevin Corstens|
|11. Chaillot (56.5kg)||4||Declan Bates||Archie Alexander|
|12. Odeum (49kg)||7||Jye McNeil||M Price & M Kent (Jnr)|
|13. Chica Fuerte (49kg)||13||Dean Holland||A & S Freedman|
|14. Forbidden Love (49kg)||14||Dean Yendall||R & M Freedman|
With the race yet to be run, we still don’t know what the Empire Rose Stakes results for 2021 will be! However, check back in after the race and we will have all of the information on how the big race went and what the results are.
Looking back at the 2020 race, Shout The Bar won by 0.1 lengths, lifting late to hold off the fast-finishing Odeum and breeze past Forbidden Love, who was 0.6 lengths back in 3rd.
Damien Oliver got the mare to jump well from barrier 11, settling in the second pair and off the fence, often vital given the wide Flemington straight. Following Forbidden Love’s back around the bench, Oliver forced his rivals to go even wider around him if they were to make up ground and had a dream run to the finish.
Odeum was following Shout The Bar for the trip and was on her shoulder entering the straight. Jye McNeil had Odeum level with the winner during the straight but didn’t have enough left in the final 50m to push over the line. Forbidden Love was up in the front pairing, setting the fast pace throughout but ran out of tickets in the straight, not holding on with the two ahead of her.
You’ve read the words, now watch the video! Have a squiz below at the 2020 Empire Rose Stakes race:
Here are the full results from the Empire Rose Stakes in 2020:
|1st||6. Shout The Bar (56.5kg)||Damien Oliver||–|
|2nd||12. Odeum (49kg)||Jye McNeil||0.1L|
|3rd||14. Forbidden Love (49kg)||Dean Yendall||0.6L|
|4th||11. Chaillot (56.5kg)||Declan Bates||0.8L|
|5th||7. Asiago (56.5kg)||Mark Zahra||1L|
|6th||8. Missile Mantra (56.5kg)||Damian Lane||1.2L|
|7th||1. Mystic Journey (57kg)||Kerrin McEvoy||1.4L|
|8th||4. Pretty Brazen (56.5kg)||Luke Currie||1.9L|
|9th||5. Vanna Girl (56.5kg)||Hugh Bowman||2L|
|10th||9. Felicia (56.5kg)||Craig Williams||2.1L|
|11th||2. Nettoyer (57kg)||Glen Boss||3.6L|
|12th||10. She Shao Fly (56.5kg)||Jamie Kah||5.85L|
|13th||13. Chica Fuerte (49kg)||Dean Holland||9.35L|
The results for the upcoming Empire Rose Stakes are not yet available, but in the meantime, you can have a look below at all the recent past winners:
|2020||Shout The Bar||Odeum||Forbidden Love|
|2019||Melody Belle||Aristia||Spanish Reef|
|2018||Shillelagh||Bring Me Roses||Fundamentalist|
|2016||I Am A Star||French Emotion||Denmagic|
|2013||Red Tracer||Catkins||Fire Up Fifi|
|2012||Appearance||Soft Sand||Secret Admirer|
|2011||Hurtle Myrtle||Sacred Choice||Dysphonia|
|2010||Sacred Choice||Typhoon Tracy||Hot Danish|
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