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We have studied the form from all races across the country for Wednesday, May 11, and provided our best horse racing tips.
It never rains, but it pours, is about the best analogy to summarise 2022.
Any hopes of a mild winter looked to have curtailed this week with an exceptionally ordinary forecast in Brisbane and Sydney whilst ironically it is Melbourne that is the hope of the side for a good track this Wednesday as we head into the middle of May.
If nothing else, the form should be consistent, as most Sydney gallopers haven’t stepped out the barn door without getting their feet wet in months which, in theory, should make our job somewhat easier however the definition of a Heavy 8 and a Heavy 10 has become somewhat more liberal this year for no other reason than the fact we wouldn’t be racing if it didn’t, but it is proving a challenge for punters to line it all up.
We’ve spread ourselves far and wide this week, but hopefully not too thin as we look to find you value winners around the country.
We have made five selections in total and are confident that we have found you some winners! So, read on below to find our best horse racing tips for this Wednesday, May 11.
Sandown, Race 1 – 3. Russian Mint ($2.90)
Has been scary good in two jump outs.
Rounded them up from well back on the all weather like they were nailed to the ground in his first look. Then just absolutely spaced them next time out.
There’s nothing in this that will so much as see anything but the afterburners.
Best of the day.
Warwick Farm, Race 1 – 1. Political Debate ($1.70)
*This horse has since been scratched.*
A topical tip if we ever did see one!
Let’s park all the shouting and hot air to one side for now from the two blokes vying to lead the country, and focus on much more serious matters like trying to find the winner of the first at Warwick Farm.
We’ve had no luck lately backing the Waller 2YO’s at the midweeks lately but in hindsight we’ve probably made a few errors. They are late in the season two year olds who, by their timing alone would suggest they are slow maturing, and we are punting them to win over 1100m and six furlongs on tight midweek, jump and run circuits.
That’s never been the C J Waller pattern, but we think this bloke is more his style.
The 1400m, with the big run down the back at ‘The Farm’, this colt by SYT has a lot of his old man about him. Loved the way he lengthened chasing down a subsequent Saturday metro winner last start. He only needs to let down like that again and be given even luck in running by McDonald and he’ll be winning here.
Sunshine Coast, Race 2 – 8. Lovelier ($2.70)
*This meeting has been transferred from Gold Coast.*
Somehow ended up three deep from barrier 4 last start and we can’t imagine a repeat of that from Jimmy Orman if he enjoys his current job of being the first elect for the Waller stable in QLD.
— SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) May 7, 2022
The winner from that race looks reasonably handy, and the runner up ran into the smart Arentee the start prior who is a subsequent C3 metro winner.
Gawler, Race 3 – 7. Strike Award ($2.70)
A few handy ones are getting out to their right trip here but we are going with the class edge here.
This 3YO Shamus Award gelding drops back from Saturday metro grade here after an honest first up effort, albeit a disappointing result for backers who sent him out a short priced favourite.
Probably cost himself a length and a half on the corner where he wanted to lay out, then was left flat footed when they quickened but never shirked the task in the run to line, going down 2L’s.
Straight to 1500m here some concern but the new barn has given him 3 weeks between runs so you can imagine they’ve kept the work up to him in order to consider tackling this. And the blinkers going on second up suggests they are all in here.
Should go close back to maiden midweek grade.
Warwick Farm, Race 5 – 2. Monte Ditto ($11/$3.00)
Good to see David Pfieffer back in the training ranks and we are going to chance our hand here with our ‘Best Roughie’ of the day play.
He’s always been a talented galloper when right, but they had trouble keeping him on the track.
Generally does his best racing after a run, however with both Dave and the horse coming from extended breaks, we are hoping they both have a bit of a hunger for a first up kill in their bellies.
A quiet trial, to say the least, dropped right out the back early and found the line strongly under no urgings suggesting he has come back in top shape.
Expect they’ll adopt similar tactics here from a wide draw, he handles the wet, and they’ll most likely be looking for better ground by race 5. Can finish over the top of them.
Best Bet – 3. Russian Mint (Sandown, Race 1)
Next Best – 8. Lovelier (Gold Coast, Race 2)
Best Roughie – 2. Monte Ditto (Warwick Farm, Race 5)
*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of Dabble.