We have studied the form from all races across the country for Wednesday, March 2, and provided our best horse racing tips.
Plenty of doom and gloom about at the moment and we aren’t just talking about that filthy leader bias we had to put up with at Caulfield on Saturday! But nothing puts a smile back on your dial like backing a winner, and things only ever seem as bad as the last photo finish that didn’t go your way until they jump in the next.
Fingers crossed the meetings stand up along the eastern seaboard for Wednesday, March 2, because we’ve done the form and there appears plenty to smile about.
We have made five selections in total and are confident that we have found you some winners! So, read on below to find our best horse racing tips for this Wednesday, March 2.
Warwick Farm, Race 1 – 6. Richon ($4.00)
*Race meeting has been abandoned.*
A small field but a tricky race to line up. Just the eight runners, five we have seen before, three we haven’t.
Number one Cannon has looked very green in his trials and will probably need this, and there has been nothing else to catch the eye out of the rest of the debutants.
Of the raced brigade, both Alpha One and Himalism have let us down at their most recent starts without excuse so we are putting them in the sin bin for now and the Tim Martin galloper, Cool Amigo rises sharply in grade and looks outclassed here which leaves us with just two.
Plenty will want to make a case for the Waller runner, Showcourt who struck trouble at Canterbury but he was a long way out of his ground there and couldn’t have won anyway, and he comes back in trip for this.
Racing NSW advise the Warwick Farm racecourse has received 198mm of rain in the last week and the A Grass has been rated a Heavy 10.
Accordingly, the barrier trials scheduled for Monday, 28th February have been transferred to be conducted on the Polytrack surface.
— Racing NSW (@racing_nsw) February 27, 2022
That just leaves the Peter Robl trained Richon which did absolutely nothing wrong on debut, he just ran into what looked at the time to be a pretty handy one when debuting at Newcastle. That horse goes by the name Promitto, who came out and beat up on the Group 2 Skyline Stakes field on Saturday.
So we might have found Richon by a process of elimination, but we were certainly buoyed by Promitto’s impressive win Saturday. They met on a slow track at Newcastle and while a Warwick Farm heavy 10 is a different beast again, we think fitness will play some part here so the run under his belt certainly helps, as does the experience of racing on a yielding track plus Hutchings follows him to town to stay on board.
Not a high profile stable, so you are getting big overs here for a horse which screams out at you from the form guide.
Sunshine Coast, Race 2 – 10. Summer Breeze ($2.25)
The surface shouldn’t be an issue with them racing on the all-weather at the Sunny Coast, but transport difficulties may be with flooding throughout the greater Brisbane region.
We are really hoping this meeting stands up though as the Waller double we have tipped here looks close to a good thing.
This mare gets a good draw and out to a trip that her breeding suggests is her right range. She has shown enough toe in her Sydney runs to prove she can race handily which is a key factor on the synthetic tracks and on previous form, she has a distinct class edge and is about the only runner in the race with upside. Plus she gets the Waller polish with L V Cassidy on board.
Plenty of ticks in a race where you could put the red pen straight through more than half the field. We just need her to get there by float or by boat and we think she will be winning.
Sandown, Race 1 – 3. Heavenly Eagle ($2.70)
Just found one better on debut, and in likelihood the draw beat him.
No luck again here drawing 7 from 7 but with the run under the belt, back to the same track and trip, and with the same pilot on board, we think he should go one better and get punters off to a flying start for the day.
Only needs to repeat his debut performance.
Warwick Farm, Race 5 – 5. Forever You ($2.50)
*Race meeting has been abandoned.*
A very promising stayer who is being brought along patiently by master horse-woman Annabel Neesham.
By Galileo out of a European bred mare by Danehill Dancer, two things jump out at you when you have a look at her page. The first is that this 4YO mare is still maturing even though she has won her past two by a combined margin of over 7 lengths. And the second is that she should eat mud for breakfast given her pedigree.
The rest of the field has well over three hundred starts between them and certainly don’t win out of turn whereas this mare lines up here for start number five and looks to have a bright future.
It’s not very often that you say this about a 2200m race run midweek at Warwick Farm, but we are really looking forward to this race. Expect she makes it a hat trick here and does it in good style.
Sunshine Coast, Race 8 – 2. Merimee ($1.34)
Wouldn’t you like to own one in this race?
A six horse field with a QTIS bonus for 3YOs and an additional bonus for fillies. The team at Star Thoroughbreds look to have hit absolute pay dirt here with this race worth a tick shy of $80k if their filly can beat her very moderate opposition. Which we think she should do.
Connections Cast Ep 22: Denise Martin
A trailblazer of the syndication game the Star Thoroughbreds’ founder talks about her unlikely pathway into the industry, 20 years of success with Gai Waterhouse, and her more recent association with Chris Waller.https://t.co/YD0jx8QHs9 pic.twitter.com/urLArSd6Wq
— Thoroughbred Daily News AusNZ (@TDNAusNZ) February 20, 2022
She’s a last start winner in town and whilst she gets back, we doubt they’ll be taking too many chances in a small field given the pattern of the all-weather track and the high stakes on offer. Not too concerned about the top weight as she’ll be on top of the track and should be able to keep rolling along and present with a sustained finish when asked.
Should be able to build on her handy record as well as bank a fat cheque here.
Best Bet – 5. Forever You (Warwick Farm, Race 5)
Next Best – 3. Heavenly Eagle (Sandown, Race 1)
Best Roughie – 6. Richon (Warwick Farm, Race 1)
*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of Dabble.
