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We have studied the form from all races across the country for Saturday, March 5, and provided our best horse racing tips.
The ‘Big Wet’ might be set to continue in Sydney, but the quality of the programming at Royal Randwick on Saturday is simply too good to say no to.
It won’t be easy for the horses or the punters, but there’s a winner in every race!
We have made five selections in total and are confident that we have found you some winners! So, read on below to find our best horse racing tips for this Saturday, March 5.
Randwick, Race 2 – 7. Greece ($2.80)
There’s nothing like leaving things to the last minute, then again, why would you panic when you already have the favourite for the $5 million Golden Slipper? Coolongatta’s stablemate Greece debuts here after a couple of impressive trial wins as she attempts to gain a start in the world’s richest race for two year olds.
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Her main danger appears to be the horse that finished runner up to Coolongatta in the Magic Millions, that being Russian Conquest. Very hard not to see the two of them fighting it out here, but with Russian Conquest assured of a start in the grand final, we are happy to go with the aspirant who also happens to be a half to crack filly and Group 1 winner Loving Gaby who was rather unlucky herself in the Golden Slipper.
Play the better odds here and if you think she can win this, why not back her in the Golden Slipper before she races Saturday as she’ll most likely halve her quote.
Randwick, Race 3 – 6. Richon ($31/$6.00)
Think this will be the best guide so far as to whether something can beat Coolangatta.
Shalatin is already in the race and I imagine he’ll get a set of blinkers come Grand Final day but given this is going to be run on trying ground, Joe Pride has wisely elected to keep them up his sleeve for another day so we expect him to be still working on his race manners but finishing off nicely late.
Surprised Jason Collett kept the ride on Sejardan after his absolute blunt knife butchery in the Inglis Millenium. He gets a better draw and maps a lot cleaner here, and is no doubt the one to beat. If he does it in good style then there will be plenty who think with his sense of timing that he might be able to topple the filly next start who has been up for quite a while.
Then throw in option C. The not nominated Promitto from the unheralded David Atkins yard. Richon looked dead set home on debut at Newcastle before Promitto stormed down the outside late no doubt leaving connections and punters feeling a bit unlucky about the fact they ran into a pretty smart one there. Fast forward to last Saturday where he came out and demolished a Group 2 field and whilst you might have had a mild sensation of biliousness in the back of your throat, you had to be buoyed by the fact you were probably lining up for a collect on Richon his next start.
He had two cracks at it during the week where he was well supported into favouritism by race morning before they both got called off. Fortunately for connections, trainer Robl has had the nous to keep this option up his sleeve.
There was a good margin to second in the Promitto race and it was run in rain affected going which are both real positives here. He’s no doubt going to be fitter with that hitout under his belt and with the Slipper really crying out for a serious challenger to Coolongatta, there’s case to say that Promitto might just be the one, which means you’d be silly not to be having something on Richon at huge odds in this.
He’s our best roughie of the day, and if he comes out and wins, you’ll be sorry you haven’t backed Promitto for the Slipper so do yourself a favour and have a little on both.
Randwick, Race 5 – 2. Eduardo ($2.20)
This has truly developed into one of the great rivalries of the turf and it is almost a blessing for race fans that the fly in the ointment Home Affairs has elected to stay home in his box here.
It’s quite taxing on the brain to try and line up weights, measures, bad draws, track ratings when comparing this pair, suffice to say there’s a little over a cigarette paper between them when everything goes to plan and it makes for cracking viewing.
Two of probably the best three sprinters in the world going head to head with (in this author’s opinion anyway) the two best riders in the world going at it. And this is a Group 2 race? We really are the lucky country.
Eduardo draws inside him here and the track come race 5 Saturday is going to be anyone’s guess given the hammering it copped last week, the hammering it’s copped this week, plus the reactionary move to go straight to six metres. Either way you look at it Nature Strip is either working to cross if it’s playing leaders or Nash is holding the inside and McDonald is working upside of him.
They both have great stats for this race, the only real factors to go off are the fact Eduardo got him second up last time campaign, and Joe Pride has one hell of a good record of winning big races on days where the laws of nature say you shouldn’t be racing.
Is literally a race in two but you’re getting much better odds for Eduardo in what is a red or black type scenario here so let’s take the overs.
Randwick, Race 7 – 8. Law of Indices ($6.00)
The ducks, Annabel Nessham, and Law of Indices are about the only three characters that are going to feel right at home at Randwick on Saturday.
The Golden Eagle is an unsuitable race for imports bred to northern hemisphere time but he was one of the standout runners there and he’s doubled down on that with a very good return to start the campaign.
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— SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) March 2, 2022
Lighthouse is probably going to look the winner, and you’d expect Tommy Berry on board, this entire is going to have eyes all over her as to when he commences his run. Off the map, Law of Indices lands a pair in front of Private Eye who is going to be the other main challenger and with the benefit of a run under his belt, and the fact he’s going to be in front of Private Eye who is first up, is enough to lean the imports way.
I can’t entertain the favourite, Forbidden Love at a silly quote and this guy looks very backable at the odds.
Randwick, Race 10 – 6. Tricky Gal ($8.50)
I certainly hope they are still on at this stage because this mare owes me plenty and whilst I am loyal to a fault with my punting, I think she might have found the perfect storm to break her long drought.
She hasn’t won for a while, and she is a costly conveyance, but there have been some genuine excuses including awful rides, bad rider selection, and poor placement by connections.
She does her best racing fresh, she doesn’t go on firm ground, and she needs to be ridden cold. She also loves the wet, she gets Regan Bayliss here, first up on a big track that’s going to look like a moonscape on the inside fence by the last.
Let’s just hope they don’t try and ride her upside down from the good draw and go back on her. They do that, and come with one sustained run and I think she can run them down late for that well deserved black type victory.
Couldn’t have trialled any better, and her stats just scream out at you here. Worth showing some faith in her as she is a high quality mare going around at close to double figure odds.
Best Bet – 8. Law of Indices (Randwick, Race 7)
Next Best – 6. Tricky Gal (Randwick, Race 10)
Best Roughie – 6. Richon (Randwick, Race 3)
*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of Dabble.