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We have studied the form from all races across the country for Saturday, March 12, and provided our best horse racing tips.
Plenty happening not just around the country but the world over, and in times like these there is nothing better than a couple of race cards of the very highest quality to help us take an eight hour holiday.
It is literally the best of the best, spread across both main states this week, with one of the middle distance weight for age championships in the Australian Cup being run at Flemington along with the final leg of the Autumn sprinting triple crown in the Newmarket Handicap. Whilst the nation’s best fillies and mares do battle in the rich Coolmore Classic at Rosehill.
We have made five selections in total and are confident that we have found you some winners! So, read on below to find our best horse racing tips for this Saturday, March 12.
Flemington, Race 5 – 6. Mokulua ($26/$5.50)
Boy it is good to be back at Flemington!
Caulfield has been nothing short of a punter’s graveyard across the course of their carnival but we have great confidence in the boy from the ‘Bool made good in Liam O’Keefe who consistently serves up quality racing surfaces at Victoria’s racing HQ.
Throw in the engagement of Nash Rawiller, and the fact this filly is trained by the same fellow who put the polish on the likes of Burst and Belle De Jour, and she is just screaming at you for an each way ticket in this.
Trainer @clarryconners1 is rapt to get jockey @nashhot back aboard Mokulua in Kewney with the leading hoop to be @FlemingtonVRC Saturday. The filly put in a nice gallop yesterday morning and going by previous races there’s no doubting Mokulua will appreciate getting to a mile.
— Andrew Bensley (@AndrewBensley) March 9, 2022
It was a strong race that she comes out of first up, one which we think will founder later in the day when Espiona wins the Sydney G1 feature, the Coolmore Classic, and it has simply been a red pen job at Caulfield in the year to date for anything that doesn’t have the racing pattern of a greyhound drawn the #1 at The Meadows.
Mile, Flemington, Nash, total forgive run last start all equals big overs here for a girl that’s already proven her worth at Group 2 level on the big stage.
Best roughie of the day.
Rosehill, Race 6 – 4. Cape Breton ($14/$3.10)
*This horse has since been scratched.*
He is the forgotten horse here if the market is anything to go by.
We found him as our best of the day first up where he scored impressively on the Kenso circuit. He was held up for the majority of the straight there but never really looked in doubt and proved too strong once McDonald angled him clear.
It’s a big jump from a midweek BM72 but he has shown in the past he has the quality to compete at this level and is a winner second up, scoring at Rosehill over the 1400m, before heading to the J.J. Atkins.
Forget he went around last prep, he clearly wasn’t right and judge him on his first campaign and the good first up win and he is no doubt right up to this and decent overs here.
Flemington, Race 6 – 10. Quantico ($15/$4.40)
They might have ended the year as two of the world’s highest rated sprinters, but the dynamic duo and the arm wrestle that has been Eduardo and Nature Strip has looked a little shaky of late.
Plenty thought the Home Affairs win represented the changing of the guard, but have a good hard look at his form and it’s probably not that hard to see how a 5YO gelding that got beat in a Class 2 race at the Sapphire Coast a handful of start’s back got close to the horses he beat last start.
Sure, Home Affairs has four wins to date, but his first came at G2 level over Rocket Tiger, a horse who got beat in the afterthought for 2YO’s, the Black Opal, and has not been seen since. His next was a first up kill over Paulele who doesn’t measure up at G1 level, and the same can be said for Bruckner and over rated ‘gonna’ Artorius who he defeated in the Coolmore.
He got the better of Eduardo and Nature Strip first up with a weight pull, but both of those senior citizens have subsequently looked very plain at their latest outing suggesting there is a changing of the guard about to take place, but Home Affairs is not the one.
Would loved to have seen this fellow with just the one run under his belt this time in to confirm what I saw last preparation and on the trial track this time in, but the ‘Big Wet’ has curtailed that so we are rolling the dice, albeit at big odds.
The stablemate Lost and Running sucks all the attention away from him, but I think this gelding is the better horse. He has a real sense of timing about him similar to Redzel when he matured and this may well be the start of it.
Flemington, Race 7 – 2. Think it Over ($3.00)
There was a great Sydney/Melbourne rivalry on show last week when the Australian and Randwick Guineas, both for 3YO’s went head to head. But this is a little different.
“I think he’ll be sweet (going the Melbourne way). Drawing a good gate was a nice help, once he gets around the first turn and into the straight he’ll be fine.”
— RSN927am (@RSN927) March 10, 2022
Without doubt he is the people’s champ, and in the top 3 of the mature WFA locals, and he ventures south to try and claim one of the jewels in the Australian racing crown. He’s proven his worth at the very highest level, Nash sticks, the long run home at Flemington or the 2000m hold no fears for him, and he simply should be better than the very suspect Melbourne brigade.
Only has to have traveled well which shouldn’t be an issue for a horse in the care of Kerry Parker, and he just wins.
Rosehill, Race 8 – 15. Espiona ($3.80)
There will be plenty who want to jump off after her two defeats this time in at short quotes but we are happy to take their money on Saturday.
She sat deep throughout and was only narrowly beaten in what was a high quality race first up. And you couldn’t have faulted her last start on a track that was a miracle of modern curating aside from saying perhaps she is just looking for further?
She gets that here, 1500m, home track, proven in the conditions with a big weight pull against a very modest bunch of mares.
Simply can’t see her getting beat on even terms.
Best Bet – 15. Espiona (Rosehill, Race 8)
Next Best – 2. Think it Over (Flemington, Race 7)
Best Roughie – 6. Mokulua (Flemington, Race 5)
*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of Dabble.