We have studied the form from all races across the country for Saturday, April 30, and provided our best horse racing tips.
It is Hawkesbury Gold Cup day on Saturday! The feature meeting you get when just too much Autumn Carnival is still not enough! A time honored race at the meeting that pioneered the provincial circuit clubs obtaining their own stand alone Saturday.
It is a quality card featuring four stakes races which unfortunately due to the lingering wet weather, will no doubt be run on rain affected going. Whilst up north, the Winter Carnival is really starting to heat up with three stakes races headlined by the Queensland Guineas on an excellent card at Eagle Farm.
We have made five selections in total and are confident that we have found you some winners! So, read on below to find our best horse racing tips for this Saturday, April 30.
Eagle Farm, Race 5 – 3. Palazzo Spirit ($4.80)
Terrific race with form lines coming in from everywhere to try and line up, but we are going to stick with the tried and tested local galloper.
Palazzo Spirit defeated the smart Golden Artie on debut then was dominant winning the Listed Phelan Ready stakes at his next start. He’d clearly had enough when he took on Coolangatta so put a pen through that and take him on his first two wins, both over the 1000m, both at Eagle Farm, and both when sent to the races fresh.
His two trials tells us he’s come back in good order, unbeaten first up, drawn well and rider Ben Thompson is enjoying plenty of success for the stable since returning from a lengthy suspension and will no doubt be looking to lock in some quality carnival rides.
Well priced with Steady Ready a short favourite after beating not much on debut.
Hawkesbury, Race 6 – 2. Malkovich ($2.25)
Broke the clock at a recent Randwick trial session and was low flying prior to that with a 4th in the Group 1 Oakleigh Plate and a stakes victory down the straight at Flemington. The only blot on his copybook was a failure on a bottomless Randwick in The Galaxy behind Shelby Sixtysix.
Congrats to the connections of Malkovich, a terrific ride by Josh Parr, and the horse trained to perfection by @BBakerRacing, taking out the Listed ATA/Bob Hoysted Handicap today @FlemingtonVRC pic.twitter.com/mJPmE5E70H
— Aust Trainers Assoc (@austrainers) March 5, 2022
His Heavy track stats are suspect but his Soft track stats are excellent. Given the forecast in Sydney, I think the Hawkesbury track will creep into the Heavy range, but as long as it’s not too far into it, I don’t know how this field will get close to him if he runs up to that trial time and his form before the freshen up.
Best of the day on anything better than a Heavy 10.
Eagle Farm, Race 6 – 14. Arentee ($3.70)
Steps up a few grades here but there’s nothing he couldn’t beat if he repeats his run when winning a maiden last start.
Broke 33 in the run home to absolutely space them there, scratched from an easier race on Wednesday to be kept for this and we lose nothing with K McEvoy replacing the indisposed Noel Callow.
Can get the job done.
Eagle Farm, Race 7 – 5. Cape Breton ($18/$5.00)
He’s going a lot better than his last two runs would suggest on paper.
Big win first up, then a month between runs after dodging wet tracks and headed to the Canberra Guineas under a dumb ride from McDonald when he just asked him to do far too much for a horse short on match practice.
A month between runs again into the Daybreak Lover when an excellent 4th, once again a pretty ordinary ride from Jim Byrne who couldn’t get a look at them until it was all over.
He attacked the line strongly there over 1400m, stays at Eagle Farm and looks ready for the mile, now on a fortnight turnaround.
Worth plenty of thought at big odds.
Eagle Farm, Race 8 – 2. Count De Rupee ($6.00/$2.15)
Would have won the Hallmark last start had it not been for Nash Rawiller being Nash Rawiller on Kemantari. Which is damn good enough for a horse who doesn’t go on those types of tracks.
🚨 MARKET OPEN 🚨
Rothfire is a $2.70 favourite in Saturday’s TAB Victory Stakes at Eagle Farm! Count De Rupee is a $5.50 second elect.
— TAB (@tabcomau) April 27, 2022
He’s obviously right at the peak of his powers to be able to do that which would explain why Brock Ryan has followed him north. And that kind of form has him within a long neck of All Star Mile and Doncaster runner up I’m Thunderstruck. As good as Rothfire was/is, I think that kind of form for a hard fit horse reads superior.
He gets his preferred track here and thrives off an inside draw. He will have himself right there and it will be up to Rothfire to have come back as good, or maybe even better than he was to get past him.
Best Bet – 2. Malkovich (Hawkesbury, Race 6)
Next Best – 8. Count De Rupee (Eagle Farm, Race 2)
Best Roughie – 5. Cape Breton (Eagle Farm, Race 7)
*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of Dabble.
