2022 Tancred Stakes Runner By Runner Preview, Odds & Tips

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Thu 24th March 2022


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*Saturday 26th March: The rest of the race meeting has been abandoned. At this stage it is unknown where the remainder of the races will be rescheduled.*

*Sunday 27th March: It has been announced that the remaining races from the Rosehill meeting will be moved to Newcastle and take place on Monday 28th March.*

The Group 1 Tancred Stakes is a 2400m race, held under WFA conditions at Rosehill racecourse. The $1.5m feature is the only 2400m WFA G1 on the Australian racing calendar. 

The winner of the Tancred Stakes will become exempt from the ballot for both the G1 Queen Elizabeth Stakes, and the G1 Sydney Cup. Last year’s race was taken out by the ill-fated Sir Dragonet. 

Looking at the market for this year’s Tancred Stakes, Dabble has last start Australian Cup winner Duais favourite at $2.90, just ahead of Spanish Mission at $4.00. Think It Over is next best at $4.40, and it’s out then to $10 about She’s Ideel.

However, we know with horse racing that anything can happen and there are a few different form lines to take into account here. So, we have dissected each of the horses’ chances for you! Read on below to find our runner by runner preview of the 2022 Tancred Stakes along with The Shark’s best tips. 

1. Think It Over (3) – $4.40
Jockey – Nash Rawiller 59kg
Trainer – Kerry Parker

Genuine G1 contender, who was good last start in the Australian Cup. He had every chance there, but was beaten by a better horse on the day. He comes back to Rosehill, where he has a good record, and steps up to 2400m. I’m not convinced he’s an out and out stayer, but it’s hard to knock him, as he’s such an honest galloper. Needs the rain to stay away.

2. Spanish Mission (11) – $4.00
Jockey – James McDonald 59kg
Trainer – Peter G Moody

Entire who placed in last year’s Melbourne Cup. Led them up in the Australian Cup last start and fought on well to finish 3rd. Steps up to 2400m here which suits, and McDonald sticks. Will roll forward again from the wide gate, and should take a lot of running down.

3. The Chosen One (6) – $20
Jockey – Hugh Bowman 59kg
Trainer – Murray Baker & Andrew Forsman

Kiwi galloper who is no stranger to Australian racing. His form across the ditch has been good this prep, and is capable of continuing that good form here. He’s a winner over 2400m, but prefer him on top of the ground.

4. Stockman (5) – $12
Jockey – Sam Clipperton 59kg
Trainer – Joseph Pride

Mudlark, who was simply out sprinted first up in the G1 Chipping Norton Stakes. He came off the bridle a long way out last start, but managed to get the job done in the G3 Sky High. The step up in trip looks ideal, and he dead set swims. Has to be considered a chance at odds.

5. Great House (9) – $34 – Scratched
Jockey – Kerrin McEvoy 59kg
Trainer – Chris Waller 

Has come back well with two good runs in the Parramatta Cup and Sky High Stakes. Steps up to G1 company here, but looks primed to run a big race third up and out to 2400m.

6. Angel of Truth (1) – $19
Jockey – William Pike 59kg
Trainer – Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes

On the quick back up after finishing 3rd in last week’s G1 Ranvet Stakes behind Montefilia. Will no doubt roll forward from the inside draw, and with the addition of the blinkers, will look to do it at both ends. Happy to go around him in this.

7. Sheraz (4) – $26
Jockey – Brenton Avdulla 59kg
Trainer – Chris Waller

Former French galloper who has shown glimpses of promise in Australia. His two runs this prep have been ok, and he gets to a trip now where he can show his best. Look for improvement.

8. Avion Fury (8) – $126 – Scratched
Jockey – Reece Jones (a) 59kg
Trainer – Ian Finn

Almost got the job done first up at huge odds in BM78 grade. Big step up here, and out to 2400m second up is a query. Price is right.

9. Mightybeel (10) – $31
Jockey – Tommy Berry 58.5kg
Trainer – Chris Waller

Good win two back in the Listed Parramatta Cup, before an even effort last start in the wet. Has good form at Rosehill and is a winner this trip, but may need to find a few lengths on his recent form to win a WFA G1 race.

10. She’s Ideel (2) – $10
Jockey – Rachel King 57kg
Trainer – Bjorn Baker

Flashed home to finish 2nd in the G1 Chipping Norton two runs ago, before finishing down the track last start in the Australian Cup. Gets back to Rosehill now, and steps up to 2400m which suits. The biggest positive for her here is the likeliness of a wet track. If the track is soft/heavy she is a genuine winning chance. 

11. Duais (7) – $2.90F
Jockey – Joshua Parr 56.5kg
Trainer – Edward Cummings

Arguably should’ve won the G1 Chipping Norton second up, after running into backsides the entire Randwick straight. She made amends last start in the G1 Australian Cup, where she blew her rivals away. Steps up to 2400m, where she finished 2nd in the ATC Oaks as a 3YO, and has drawn well. Her heavy track form reads fair on paper, but the Chipping Norton was run on a heavy10, and she handled it well on that occasion. Looks the one they have to beat, after her last start annihilation.

Final Word

Wet tracks have become a staple in Sydney in recent weeks, and it looks as though we will be racing on another rain affected track here. 

Last start Australian Cup winner Duais, looks the one they have to beat in this year’s Tancred Stakes. Her runs this prep have been excellent, and the step up to 2400m looks no issue.

Kerry Parker’s Think It Over is the best performed horse in the race. All three runs this prep have been solid, but the 2400m on rain affected ground looks a query to me. 

Spanish Mission was good in the Australian Cup, and will be better suited up to 2400m, and She’s Ideel can improve sharply here back on a wet track. 

Last start winner Stockman, and French import Sheraz, look the best of the roughies.

As mentioned above, it’s hard to go past Duais, based on her form this prep and her last start win. She put her rivals away in brilliant fashion, and looks well suited again here. If the track remains fair and not too heavy, I feel confident she will win again. If the track does deteriorate, She’s Ideel becomes a big danger.

Best Tancred Stakes Tip: 11. Duais – Win ($2.90)
Tancred Stakes numbers: 11-10-2-7

If you need more news, information and tips, head over to our Tancred Stakes page for all your punting needs!

*Odds correct at time of writing, courtesy of Dabble.

Tom has had a passion for the racing industry from the time he could talk. Wether it was at school, on smoko or in his own spare time, he always had his head in the form guide.He has worked hands on in the industry for years for some of Australia’s most highly regarded trainers. As a track rider, he has put the polish on some of the best horse flesh to grace the turf in recent years including the grey flash, Chautauqua, Golden slipper winner, Mossfun and sprinter-turned-sire, Deep Field to name a few.Tom has recently hung up the boots to focus solely on his punting and tipping services. With the objective of finding plenty of winners and value in the marketplace, you’ll be sure to have a fat wallet following his feature race previews.