The Valley is home to some outstanding racing over the weekend, highlighted by the 100th running of the Cox Plate (2040m). However, let’s not forget about the Group 1 action on Friday night, with a Manikato Stakes (1200m) chock full of value!Th...
In a hurry? We’ve listed all the quick facts that you need to know about the Manikato Stakes:
|Date||Friday, 22nd October, 2021|
|Racecourse||Moonee Valley Racecourse, Melbourne, Australia|
The Manikato Stakes is a Group One race over 1,200m and kicks off a massive weekend of racing at the Moonee Valley Racecourse. The Manikato Stakes is for horses aged three or older and is run under weight-for-age conditions with a total prizemoney pool of $1,000,000. The 2021 race will be held on Friday, October 22nd and was won by Hey Doc in 2020.
The Manikato Stakes is the second Group One of the season held at Moonee Valley Racecourse, following the Moir Stakes, and kicks off Cox Plate weekend at the Valley. Run over 1,200m and under weight-for-age conditions, the Manikato Stakes is held just six days after The Everest and can be used as a consolation prize for those that weren’t able to secure a place in the Richest Race on Turf.
The $1M on offer doesn’t compare to the $15M prizemoney pool in The Everest, but is still one of the richest sprint races that Australia has to offer and attracts some of the best sprinters because of that.
Since 1968, when Winfreux won the inaugural running of the Manikato Stakes, the likes of Dual Choice, Tauto, Manikato, Spinning Hill, Spark Of Life and Hey Doc have been able to win the race twice.
Other incredible horses like Strawberry Road, Dane Ripper, Redoute’s Choice, Sunline, Miss Andretti, Buffering and Chautauqua have also won. The most recent winner is Hey Doc, who set a Moonee Valley 1,200m record when winning in 2020 with a time of 1:08.76.
Given the race is still weeks away and the field is not set, we are yet to come up with our Manikato Stakes tips for 2021, but be sure to read on below to get all of the information you need to know on the history and formlines for the race.
The Manikato Stakes is an Australian Group One race held at Moonee Valley Racecourse, seeing some of the best sprinters in the nation duel it out and attracts the attention of many Aussies who like to have a casual punt. Our expert tipsters will put together a short list of Manikato Stakes tips to look out for in the leadup to the big race.
Given nominations are yet to be accepted for the 2021 Manikato Stakes, it is hard to provide any updates at this time. However, as the Spring Carnival gets going, the horses that are targeting this race will become clearer and we will be able to provide you with updates. If you are after Manikato Stakes horse tips, then we will keep you informed with which horses are likely to be running, so you can place your futures bets with confidence!
Since debuting as a three-year-old at the beginning of the 2020-21 season, Portland Sky has come on leaps and bounds and is on top of the Manikato Stakes odds. Priced as $7 favourite, Portland Sky has won three group races, headlined by finishing equal-first in the G1 Oakleigh Plate earlier this year, which was followed by a narrow second, to Masked Crusader, in the G1 William Reid Stakes.
Proven G1 sprinters Eduardo and September Run are both next in the market at $8. Eduardo had a spectacular Autumn season as a seven-year-old, winning three of his four races including the G1 The Galaxy and the G1 Doomben 10,000.
September Run comes in having won just one of her seven runs at group level, however her win in the G1 Coolmore Stud Stakes was impressive while the mare finished just behind Nature Strip in the G1 Lightning Stakes.
Exciting young three-year-olds Anamoe, Profiteer and Stay Inside are just after those three and it will be interesting to see how they return this preparation and whether they turn out to be sprinters, likely Profiteer, or push for further distances, likely Anamoe and Stay Inside. Libertini, Zoutori, Swats That and Haut Brion Her are also rated as chances for the Manikato Stakes.
We will list The Sharks’ Manikato Stakes best tips for the race this year closer to the time of the race. Make sure you check back on this page for updates!
Our tips are not out for the Manikato Stakes in 2021 as it is too far out from the event. But the good news is that when the final field for the Manikato Stakes is announced, we will provide guidance on each and every runner in the 2021 Manikato Stakes.
You will find all this information below, when it becomes available. Stay tuned!
When beginning to look at Manikato Stakes betting, there are a lot of important factors to consider. Make sure you have a read on below before you place your bets:
Is Previous Form in the Manikato Stakes a Good Indicator of Future Success?
When analysing this indicator, we can see that six horses have been able to win the Manikato Stakes multiple times, most recently with Hey Doc in 2017 & 2020. However, over recent history, we haven’t seen repeat success in the race.
Over the last 10 years, just two horses have been able to finish in the placings more than once. Hey Doc is obviously one, with the other being Rebel Dane – who won his first and only Group One race in the 2016 Manikato Stakes after finishing third the year before.
Rebel Dane proved that you are able to compete in the race and then go on to perform better in a future year, however the overall data indicates that you don’t have to have had previous form in the Manikato Stakes to have future success.
Should I Bet On The Favourite in the Manikato Stakes?
While the favourite of the Manikato Stakes has won three times from the last 10 runnings of the race, it may be best to look at betting around the favourite. The favourite hasn’t won in each of the last five runnings of the Manikato Stakes, and just one of those was able to finish in the minor placings.
Over the last five years, three of the favourites were priced at $2 or shorter and the best result of those was 5th. The winners over that time had prices ranging from $7 – $61. Loving Gaby was second favourite in 2019 when winning at $7, Rebel Dane was the biggest outsider in 2016 but managed to cross the line first despite the $61 price tag while Hey Doc won in 2020 despite jumping as fifth favourite with a price of $10.
That indicates that it may be best to look around the favourite, especially given they haven’t won over the last five years and just one has resulted in getting a bonus bet back, depending on what agency you bet with.
Formlines Heading into the Manikato Stakes
There is no clear formline is the best way to go to winning the Manikato Stakes, with each of the last five winners taking different paths to victory. There are two small recent trends that stick out being that each of the last two winners, Loving Gaby and Hey Doc, contested the Manikato Stakes third up in their preparation.
The other is that two of the last three winners, Brave Smash and Hey Doc, contested the Moir Stakes at some stage during their lead-up. Just two of the last five winners actually won a race during that preparation in the lead-up to winning the Manikato Stakes. Hey Doc, in 2017, won the G3 Aurie’s Star Handicap first up and Loving Gaby, in 2019, won the G3 Champagne Stakes first up as well.
That doesn’t help make the picture any more clear for us, however if your horse has either won their first up race, contested the Moir Stakes or is third up in their preparation, that may be the way to look, when also considering the other indicators we have analysed.
When factoring age into your Manikato Stakes betting, it may be better to look for a five-year-old, with them winning three of their last 10 runnings. However, it is very even with three other ages having won twice, being three, four and seven.
Hey Doc won as both a four-year-old (2017) and seven-year-old (2020) while Loving Gaby was just a three-year-old foal when she won in 2019. Brave Smash (2018), Chautauqua (2015) and Lankan Rupee (2014), with the latter two jumping as favourites, were all five-year-olds when winning the Manikato Stakes.
Here is a table indicating the ages of winners of the Manikato Stakes since the 2011 edition:
|Age||# of Wins|
Males have typically dominated the Manikato Stakes, having eight of the last winners. Of those eight, five were geldings, two were entires and one was a colt. That leaves just two females to win the race over that time, Loving Gaby as a foal in 2019 and the mare, Sea Siren, in 2012. There is a clear advantage in the data to male horses in the Manikato Stakes, and breaking it down further, geldings.
Given that dominance by male horses over the last 10 years and the weight-for-age conditions of the Manikato Stakes, seven of the last 10 winners have carried 58.5kg to victory.
Based on our data that we have analysed so far, your Manikato Stakes best bet is to look for a five-year-old male horse, preferably a gelding. It is best to bet around the favourite and is also worth looking at a horse that is third up and/or raced in the Moir Stakes in the lead-up.
Our Manikato Stakes best bets for 2021 are not out just yet, make sure you keep an eye out on this page as we will provide more details about our best bets when the final field is announced.
You will find our best bets below once available. Stay tuned!
Long before the Manikato Stakes field is officially announced – online bookies will open early markets, or all-in markets, for Manikato stakes betting. This is prime time to bet on your favourite horse, as you might be able to bet on strong contenders for the 2021 Manikato Stakes at double-digit odds.
Once the bookies release the 2021 Manikato Stakes odds, they will obviously fluctuate frequently in the lead up to the race, especially when we have a better idea of which horses will be targeting the race and their form leading into the race.
Punting early on these markets can find you a favourite at prices of $10 or more, which will retain you a much higher return on investment. However, there is increased risk with doing this and you should be well aware.
Depending on when you place a futures bet on the 2021 Manikato Stakes, your horse may not even run but you won’t get your money back, occurring when the market is ‘All-In’ or closer to the starting date. If you are betting when it says ‘Before Noms’, you have the security of receiving your money back if your horse doesn’t run.
The Manikato Stakes odds are already out for 2021, but make sure to compare these prices between different bookies. Although they usually agree on a horse’s price, you may stumble across much higher odds – with an obvious higher profit involved.
The below table shows the current 2021 Manikato Stakes odds as of early August, courtesy of Sportsbet:
Given it is one of the premier sprint Group Ones of the Spring Carnival, the Manikato Stakes field is always packed with A-grade talent and previous Group One winners. The $1,000,000 on offer attracts some of those horses that weren’t selected for The Everest, meaning there is still plenty of talent on offer.
The 2020 Manikato Stakes saw Trekking, who finished 4th in The Everest, back-up in the race six days later, jump favourite and finish a narrow second to Hey Doc. The final Manikato Stakes field is expected to be announced at the barrier draw, which is set to take place on Tuesday, October 20th.
With the 2021 Manikato Stakes field yet to be determined, let’s take a look back at the 2020 field, headlined by winner Hey Doc:
|1. Trekking (58.5kg)||7||John Allen||James Cummings|
|2. Hey Doc (58.5kg)||6||Luke Currie||Tony & Calvin McEvoy|
|3. Kementari (58.5kg)||5||Craig Williams||James Cummings|
|4. Splintex (58.5kg)||9||Kerrin McEvoy||Mark Newnham|
|5. Order Of Command (58.5kg)||11||Damien Oliver||Danny O’Brien|
|6. Dirty Work (58.5kg)||3||William Pike||M, W & J Hawkes|
|7. Lyre (56.5kg)||4||James McDonald||A & S Freedman|
|8. Pippie (56.5kg)||1||Damian Lane||J & C Meagher|
|9. Bella Vella (56.5kg)||10||Jamie Kah||Will Clarken|
|10. Diamond Effort (56.5kg)||2||Ben Melham||Clinton McDonald|
|11. Brooklyn Hustle (56.5kg)||8||Mark Zahra||J Warren & D Krongold|
With the race yet to be run, we still don’t know what the Manikato Stakes results for 2021 will be! However, check back in after the race and we will have all of the information on how the big race went and what the results are.
Looking back at the 2020 race, Hey Doc was able to settle near the front and not get stuck on the fence, which is important at the Valley. He then began peeling wide around the bend and entered the short Moonee Valley straight with clear air to burst down the outside, running past Dirty Work, who finished 0.95 lengths back in third, and was able to hold off the fast finishing Trekking, who was 0.75 lengths short in second.
Trekking jumped one barrier wide of Hey Doc and it may have helped him to have some pace on his inside. This allowed him to settle mid-field rather than falling back in the pack. However, in an attempt to not over-race and be pushed too wide, Trekking did look to get held up and lose momentum just before the bend.
He then had to work hard to find Hey Doc’s shoulder entering the straight and that caused him to be a length behind and he couldn’t make it up. As per usual, Pippie was the pace setter from an inside draw but wasn’t able to keep up with the pace over 1,200m and settled for 7th.
You’ve read the words, now watch the video! Have a squiz below at the 2020 Manikato Stakes race:
Here are the results from the Manikato Stakes in 2020:
|1st||2. Hey Doc (58.5kg)||Luke Currie||–|
|2nd||1. Trekking (58.5kg)||John Allen||0.75L|
|3rd||6. Dirty Work (58.5kg)||William Pike||0.95L|
|4th||11. Brooklyn Hustle (56.5kg)||Mark Zahra||2.7L|
|5th||3. Kementari (58.5kg)||Craig Williams||4.2L|
|6th||7. Lyre (56.5kg)||James McDonald||6.2L|
|7th||8. Pippie (56.5kg)||Damian Lane||6.3L|
|8th||4. Splintex (58.5kg)||Kerrin McEvoy||6.6L|
|9th||9. Bella Vella (56.5kg)||Jamie Kah||12.6L|
The results for the upcoming Manikato Stakes are not yet available, but in the meantime, you can have a look below at all the recent past winners:
|2020||Hey Doc||Trekking||Dirty Work|
|2019||Loving Gaby||Vital Silver||Anaheed|
|2018||Brave Smash||Spirit Of Valor||Kementari|
|2017||Hey Doc||In Her Time||Malaguerra|
|2016||Rebel Dane||Fell Swoop||Japonisme|
|2014||Lankan Rupee||Angelic Light||Famous Seamus|
|2012||Sea Siren||Mental||We’re Gonna Rock|
|2011||Sepoy||Sister Madly||More Joyous|
|2010||Hay List||True Persuasion||Eagle Falls|