It’s been a monster Flemington Carnival and it’s going out with a bang, with a very tightly matched 2020 Mackinnon Stakes (2000m) on the cards.Let’s take a look at each and every runner going around and end the carnival with our pockets ful...
In a hurry? We’ve listed all the quick facts that you need to know about the Mackinnon Stakes:
|Date||Saturday, 6th November, 2021|
|Racecourse||Flemington Racecourse, Melbourne, Australia|
The Mackinnon Stakes is a Group One race over 2,000m and is held at Flemington Racecourse. The race for horses aged three or older, is the main event on the last Saturday of the Melbourne Spring Carnival and is run under weight-for-age conditions with a total prizemoney pool of $2,000,000. This year, the race will be held on Saturday, November 6th and was won by WA-raider Arcadia Queen in 2020.
Stakes Day rounds out the Melbourne Spring Carnival and is headlined by the Mackinnon Stakes, a 2,000m Group One race for horses aged three years and older. Run under weight-for-age conditions, the Mackinnon holds a total prizemoney pool of $2M and attracts some of the best middle-distance runners from the country and the globe.
With some of the best horses in the world coming to Melbourne for the Spring Carnival, not all want to tackle the massive distance of two miles (3,200m) of the Melbourne Cup. That leaves the Mackinnon Stakes as one of the best middle distance staying races of the carnival and is always hotly contested.
The race first ran in 1869 and was won by Glencoe, however it was run under the name Melbourne Stakes until 1937. It has now been the Mackinnon Stakes since then, with the first winner of the newly named race being The Trump, who had already won the Caulfield and Melbourne Cups in the same year. Other class horses like Ajax, Tranquil Star, Rising Fast, Leilani, Let’s Elope, Lonhro and So You Think have also won.
UK-raider Magic Wand won the race in 2019 before WA-raider Arcadia Queen won the Mackinnon Stakes last year, the champion mare’s last win before being sold for a massive $3.2M at broodmare sales earlier this year.
Given the race is still weeks away and the field is not set, we are yet to come up with our Mackinnon Stakes tips for 2021, but be sure to read on below to get all of the information you need to know on the history and formlines for the race.
The Mackinnon Stakes is an Australian Group One race held at the famous Flemington Racecourse, rounding out the Melbourne Spring Carnival and brings some of the best horses from the country and the globe, whilst also attracting many Aussies who like to have a casual punt. Our expert tipsters will put together a short list of Mackinnon Stakes tips to look out for in the leadup to the big race.
Given nominations are yet to be accepted for the 2021 Mackinnon Stakes, it is hard to provide any updates at this time. However, as the Spring Carnival gets going, the horses that are targeting this race will become clearer and we will be able to provide you with updates. If you are after Mackinnon Stakes horse tips, then we will keep you informed with which horses are likely to be running, so you can place your futures bets with confidence!
Looking ahead to the running of this year’s Mackinnon Stakes, exciting gelding Zaaki is the clear favourite. He is the only horse in single figure odds, priced at $4. An exciting performance throughout the entire Queensland Spring Carnival saw Zaaki rise up the ranks and while he has been nominated for the Cox Plate, his max distance sits at around 2,000m and this could definitely be a race he targets at the end of the carnival.
Next in line are the likes of Probabeel ($11), Mo’unga ($14), Mugatoo ($14) and Verry Elleegant ($14). Each of those are incredible horses in their own right, multiple top line races, including the likes of the Epsom Handicap, Rosehill Guineas, All Star Mile and Caulfield Cup, respectively.
We will list The Sharks’ Mackinnon Stakes best tips for the race this year closer to the time of the race. Make sure you check back on this page for updates!
Our tips are not out for the Mackinnon Stakes in 2021 as it is too far out from the event. But the good news is that when the final field for the Mackinnon Stakes is announced, we will provide guidance on each and every runner in the 2021 Mackinnon Stakes.
You will find all this information below, when it becomes available. Stay tuned!
Given how late it is in the Spring Carnival, there are so many different horses that contest the race and they bring many different formlines and tactics into the race. When looking for Mackinnon Stakes betting tips, the below indicators typically allow you to find a winner!
Is Previous Form in the Mackinnon Stakes a Good Indicator of Future Success?
Previous form in the race is definitely not needed when looking for your Mackinnon Stakes betting tips. Each of the last five winners had never raced in the Mackinnon Stakes before winning it in their respective year, while over the last 40 years, there hasn’t been a horse to win the race more than twice.
In fact, over the last 10 years, just two horses have been able to place in the race more than once. Glass Harmonium won in 2011 before coming second by 0.3 lengths in 2012, while Melody Belle came 2nd in 2019 and then 3rd in 2020, however has now retired.
Given that Arcadia Queen, last year’s winner, has retired, you don’t need to worry about looking at previous winners. However, Fifty Stars came second in last year’s race and could make a tilt at this year’s race, which could be a good bet.
Should I Bet On The Favourite in the Mackinnon Stakes?
You definitely don’t have to exclusively bet on the favourite in the Mackinnon Stakes. While seven of the last 10 winners have been priced under $10, just one of them has been the favourite.
Arcadia Queen jumped as $2.45 favourite in 2020 and ended up winning by 1.75 lengths over Group One winners, Fifty Stars and Melody Belle. However, you don’t need to look too far when looking for your Mackinnon Stakes top bets, as second favourites & third favourites have each won three of the last 10 runnings of the race. Trap For Fools won with the biggest odds over this time, jumping at $26.
Formlines Heading into the Mackinnon Stakes
The Mackinnon Stakes has seen some interesting winners over its time and looking at the last five years, that is no different. Trap For Fools brought some Western Australian form into the race when winning in 2018, running through winter in Perth before coming over for a tilt at Melbourne’s Spring Carnival.
The UK-raider Magic Wand, who won in 2019, had a six week break when travelling down to Australia before racing in the Cox Plate then the Melbourne Cup and backing up just four days later to win the Mackinnon.
The other three winners over the last five years have contested the race sixth up in their Spring preparation and each ran in the PB Lawrence first up. Between those three winners, the Toorak Handicap, Underwood Stakes and Toorak Handicap were each contested twice.
While there has been some varying ages of winners over the last 10 years, five-year-olds have the slight edge winning four of them. Horses aged four and six have each won twice over that span, with a seven-year-old, Happy Trails in 2014, and an eight-year-old, Alcopop in 2012.
When looking at more recent history, five-year-olds have definitely had superiority with three of the last five winners. Awesome Rock and Trap For Fools won in 2016 and 2018 respectively, while Arcadia Queen was the clear best horse in the race in 2020 and won easily.
Here is a table indicating the ages of winners of the Mackinnon Stakes since the 2011 edition:
|Age||# of Wins|
Given the weight-for-age conditions of the Mackinnon Stakes, horses either carry 57kg, for mares and fillies, or 59kg, for geldings, entires or colts. While the last two winners, Magic Wand and Arcadia Queen, both carried 57kg to victory, those carrying 59kg have dominated the race in the past with the previous eight winners before that.
Based on the weights mentioned above, you can see that mares have not had the best run in the Mackinnon Stakes, however have won the last two. Male horses won eight of the last 10 runnings of the race but Magic Wand and Arcadia Queen have bucked that trend over the last 10 years.
Based on our data that we have analysed so far, your Mackinnon Stakes best bet is to look for a five-year-old male horse that is entering the race sixth up and not necessarily the favourite, but still in the top few in the odds. If they started in the PB Lawrence that is a massive bonus, and look for horses who have potentially contested the Underwood Stakes, Toorak Handicap and/or Cox Plate.
Our Mackinnon Stakes best bets for 2021 are not out just yet, make sure you keep an eye out on this page as we will provide more details about our best bets when the final field is announced.
You will find our best bets below once available. Stay tuned!
Long before the Mackinnon Stakes field is officially announced – online bookies will open early markets, or all-in markets, for Mackinnon Stakes betting. This is prime time to bet on your favourite horse, as you might be able to bet on strong contenders for the 2021 Mackinnon Stakes at double-digit odds.
Once the bookies release the 2021 Mackinnon Stakes odds, they will obviously fluctuate frequently in the lead up to the race, especially when we have a better idea of which horses will be targeting the race and their form leading into the race.
Punting early on these markets can find you a favourite at prices of $10 or more, which will retain you a much higher return on investment. However, there is increased risk with doing this and you should be well aware.
Depending on when you place a futures bet on the 2021 Mackinnon Stakes, your horse may not even run but you won’t get your money back, occurring when the market is ‘All-In’ or closer to the starting date. If you are betting when it says ‘Before Noms’, you have the security of receiving your money back if your horse doesn’t run.
The Mackinnon Stakes odds are already out for 2021, but make sure to compare these prices between different bookies. Although they usually agree on a horse’s price, you may stumble across much higher odds – with an obvious higher profit involved.
The below table shows the current 2021 Mackinnon Stakes odds as of early August, courtesy of Sportsbet:
The Mackinnon Stakes is one of the last opportunities for middle distance stayers to taste some success during the Spring Carnival. Given the 2,000m race has a massive $2M on offer, the Mackinnon Stakes field attracts some of the best horses from around the world.
The final Mackinnon Stakes field will be determined at the barrier draw, which will be on Wednesday, November 3rd and is sure to have some of the best horses lining up in the event.
With the 2021 Mackinnon Stakes field yet to be determined, let’s take a look back at the 2020 field, headlined by winner Arcadia Queen:
|1. Harlem (GB) (59kg)||1||Craig Williams||T Dabernig & B Hayes|
|2. Fifty Stars (IRE) (59kg)||8||John Allen||T Dabernig & B Hayes|
|3. Mr Quickie (59kg)||3||Luke Nolen||Phillip Stokes|
|4. Mirage Dancer (GB) (59kg)||7||Micheal Dee||T Busuttin & N Young|
|5. Mugatoo (IRE) (59kg)||9||Kris Lees||Hugh Bowman|
|6. Skyward (FR) (59kg)||4||Glen Boss||T Busuttin & N Young|
|7. Dalasan (58.5kg)||2||Jamie Kah||L Macdonald & A Gluyas|
|8. Melody Belle (NZ) (57kg)||6||Jye McNeil||Jamie Richards|
|9. Arcadia Queen (57kg)||5||Damian Lane||G & A Williams|
|10. Shout The Bar (56.5kg)||10||Damien Oliver||G Waterhouse & A Bott|
With the race yet to be run, we still don’t know what the Mackinnon Stakes results for 2021 will be! However, check back in after the race and we will have all of the information on how the big race went and what the results are.
Looking back at the 2020 race, Arcadia Queen capped off a brilliant Spring campaign by comfortably winning the Mackinnon Stakes, 1.75 lengths ahead of Fifty Stars and 2.6 lengths ahead of Melody Belle.
Being a typical backmarker, from barrier five Damian Lane took Arcadia Queen right to the back and was trapped three-wide in a compressed field, however she did have cover. Following the back of Fifty Stars, the champion mare peeled wide around the bend and showed a superior turn-of-foot to win.
Fifty Stars jumped from even wider but managed to end up just in front of the winner, however he gave her a back to follow. John Allen put in some work early and started rounding up the field, going wide entering the Flemington straight.
Fifty Stars had an incredible run and potentially would have won any other race, but just met one better on the day. Melody Belle, who finished third, settled at the front but was easily passed at the top of the straight. She showed a great kick to finish but it was too little, too late.
You’ve read the words, now watch the video! Have a squiz below at the 2020 Mackinnon Stakes race:
Here are the full results from the Mackinnon Stakes in 2020:
|1st||9. Arcadia Queen (57kg)||Damian Lane||–|
|2nd||2. Fifty Stars (IRE) (59kg)||John Allen||1.75L|
|3rd||8. Melody Belle (NZ) (57kg)||Jye McNeil||2.6L|
|4th||10. Shout The Bar (56.5kg)||Damien Oliver||2.8L|
|5th||1. Harlem (GB) (59kg)||Craig Williams||4.05L|
|6th||3. Mr Quickie (59kg)||Luke Nolen||4.25L|
|7th||7. Dalasan (58.5kg)||Jamie Kah||7.25L|
|8th||4. Mirage Dancer (GB) (59kg)||Micheal Dee||9.5L|
|9th||6. Skyward (FR) (59kg)||Glen Boss||19.5L|
The results for the upcoming Mackinnon Stakes are not yet available, but in the meantime, you can have a look below at all the recent past winners:
|2020||Arcadia Queen||Fifth Stars||Melody Belle|
|2019||Magic Wand||Melody Belle||Hartnell|
|2018||Trap For Fools||Latrobe||Extra Brut|
|2017||Tosen Stardom||Happy Clapper||It’s Somewhat|
|2014||Happy Trails||He’s Your Man||Farraaj|
|2013||Side Glance||Dear Demi||Moriarty|
|2012||Alcopop||Glass Harmonium||Ocean Park|
|2011||Glass Harmonium||Mourayan||Rekindled Interest|
|2010||So You Think||Descarado||Ginga Dude|
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