It’s a huge Caulfield Guineas Day at The Heath with an all-stakes card on offer for punters! Let’s take a look at some of the races where there could be a bit of an edge against the bookies… Race 3 – Weekend Hussler Stakes – 1400m Windsto...
In a hurry? We’ve listed all the quick facts that you need to know about the Caulfield Guineas:
|Date||Saturday, 9th October, 2021|
|Racecourse||Caulfield Racecourse, Melbourne, Australia|
The Caulfield Guineas is a Group One race over 1,600m and is held at Caulfield Racecourse. The race is exclusively for three-year-old horses and is run under set weights with a total prizemoney pool of $2,000,000. This year’s Caulfield Guineas will be held on Saturday, October 9th and was won by Ole Kirk in 2020.
The Caulfield Guineas is the headline act on a massive day of racing at Caulfield Racecourse, with four Group Ones held there on Saturday, October 9th, and kicks of the Caulfield Spring Carnival Week, which includes Thousand Guineas Day on the Wednesday and the Caulfield Cup the following Saturday. Being run exclusively for three-year-olds horses, the Caulfield Guineas is one of the premier races testing how well the two-year-old crop from the previous season has come on.
The Caulfield Guineas, run over 1,600m, can be a bit of a cross-roads event, with some horses doing well and being sent to stud while other horses perform at a high level but then chase further glory in events like the Cox Plate and more.
A massive $2,000,000 is on offer in the race and has trainers preparing their horses for what can be a grand final event in their preparation, given what is at stake. As such, we have seen some incredible horses come out on top since the first running in 1881, including Artilleryman (who won the Melbourne Cup in the same year), Ajax, High Caste, Tulloch, Vain, Manikato, Redoute’s Choice, Lonhro and Starspangledbanner.
Ole Kirk, with William Pike aboard, won the 2020 Caulfield Guineas. He won this after winning the G1 Golden Rose two weeks earlier however they were the only two races he won as a three-year-old, going winless in three runs during his Autumn preparation. He was then sent to stud being a 2x Group One winner.
Given the race is still weeks away and the field is not set, we are yet to come up with our Caulfield Guineas tips for 2021, but be sure to read on below to get all of the information you need to know on the history and formlines for the race.
The Caulfield Guineas is an Australian Group One race that brings some of the best three-year-old horses to Caulfield Racecourse and it also attracts the attention of many Aussies who like to have a casual punt. Our expert tipsters will put together a short list of Caulfield Guineas tips to look out for in the leadup to the big race.
Given nominations are yet to be accepted for the 2021 Caulfield Guineas, it is hard to provide any updates at this time. However, as the Spring Carnival gets going, it will become clearer which horses have progressed as three-year-olds and that will target this incredible race. If you are after Caulfield Guineas horse tips, then we will keep you informed with which horses are likely to be running, so you can place your futures bets with confidence!
Looking ahead at the Caulfield Guineas odds for 2021, Anamoe is the clear favourite, priced at $5. The Godolphin colt didn’t finish out of the top three in his five runs during the Autumn 2021 preparation, which included wins in the G2 Todman Stakes and G1 Inglis Sires Produce, plus a 2nd in the G1 Golden Slipper.
Artorius and Converge are both on the next line of betting at $7. Artorius has raced just four times for two wins, with one of those being the G1 Blue Diamond. On the other hand, Converge has raced seven times in his career, winning three of them including G1 JJ Atkins during the Queensland Winter Carnival.
Some of the other hopefuls are Stay Inside ($8), the winner of the G1 Golden Slipper, Ingratiating ($14), who came 2nd in the G1 Blue Diamond and 3rd in the G1 Golden Slipper, and Captivant ($16), the winner of the G1 Champagne Stakes.
We will list The Sharks’ Caulfield Guineas best tips for the race this year closer to the time of the race. Make sure you check back on this page for updates!
Our tips are not out for the Caulfield Guineas in 2021 as it is too far out from the event. But the good news is that when the final field for the Caulfield Guineas is announced, we will provide guidance on each and every runner in the 2021 Caulfield Guineas.
You will find all this information below, when it becomes available. Stay tuned!
With so many great runners and often large fields, the Caulfield Guineas can be a very tough betting race. Two of the last five winners have had starting prices inside $3, while four have been inside $10. The only outlier over the last five years was Mighty Boss, who had a mammoth starting price of $101.
Given the $2,000,000 at stake, the Caulfield Guineas field is often large and full of exceptional talent. That allows us to see some incredible racing and allows punters to have some great success when placing their Caulfield Guineas bets. We have broken down some of the most important factors when looking for a Caulfield Guineas winner below:
Is Two-Year-Old Form Vital for Caulfield Guineas Success?
While you always want the horse you are backing to have had previous success, two-year-old form isn’t vital to Caulfield Guineas success. The last two winners, Super Seth (2019) and Ole Kirk (2020), only won at listed or handicap level as two-year-olds.
Ole Kirk won just one of his four races, coming no better than 3rd in his other three, which included the G1 Sires Produce (4th) and G1 Champagne Stakes (3rd). Super Seth on the other hand won two of his three runs as a two-year-old, but didn’t contest a group race until his Spring three-year-old season.
The Autumn Sun, the winner in 2018, is a bit of an outlier. He raced nine times for eight wins, which included the G1 JJ Atkins as a two-year-old. This highlights that, unless you have an incredible talent, two-year-old form isn’t an absolute requirement when looking for the right horse to back, but instead looking at how they return as a three-year-old and their form leading into the race, which we will dissect below.
Formlines Heading into the Caulfield Guineas
The Autumn Sun actually suffered his only career loss in his first run as a three-year-old, in the G2 Stan Fox Stakes, however won the G1 Golden Rose two weeks later before a three week break in the leadup to the Caulfield Guineas, entering it third up.
Super Seth took a very different path to success, running in the Guineas fourth up and not contesting the Golden Rose. He won his first up run in the G3 McNeil Stakes but then came 6th in the G2 Danehill Stakes and 5th in the G3 Guineas Prelude.
Ole Kirk contested and won the G1 Golden Rose, much like The Autumn Sun, but had yet another different lead up to his win. He contested the listed Rosebud Stakes, coming 2nd, before having a five week break prior to the G2 Run To The Rose, coming 2nd once again.
Two weeks later, he won the G1 Golden Rose and then in another two weeks, he came out on top of the Caulfield Guineas. The Golden Rose seems to be a solid formline for the Caulfield Guineas and should be followed carefully when looking for a winner in this race.
Should I Bet On The Favourite in the Caulfield Guineas?
The favourite is definitely a great place to start when looking for Caulfield Guineas betting tips. Over the last 10 years, the favourite has won on five occasions, with one of those being an equal-favourite.
If you don’t like the favourite, or there is a horse at ridiculously short odds and want to bet around him, the second favourite has won three times over that stretch with the third favourite winning another. Just two horses over the last 10 years have won at double digit odds, highlighting that the market knows who the class horses are in the race.
In 2020, Ole Kirk won at $4.20, which had him priced as equal favourite for the race. Super Seth was equal-second favourite when he won in 2019, but had very nice odds of $7.50 The Autumn Sun has had the shortest odds of any winner of the Caulfield Guineas over the last 10 years, winning in 2018 with a price of $1.70.
Our Caulfield Guineas best bets for 2021 are not out just yet, make sure you keep an eye out on this page as we will provide more details about our best bets when the final field is announced.
You will find our best bets below once available. Stay tuned!
Long before the Caulfield Guineas field is officially announced – online bookies will open early markets, or all-in markets, for Caulfield Guineas betting. This is prime time to bet on your favourite horse, as you might be able to bet on strong contenders for the 2021 Caulfield Guineas at double-digit odds.
Given they have already been released, the 2021 Caulfield Guineas odds will obviously fluctuate frequently in the lead up to the race, especially when we have a better idea of which horses will be targeting the race and their form leading into the race.
Punting early on these markets can find you a favourite at prices of $10 or more, which will retain you a much higher return on investment. However, there is increased risk with doing this and you should be well aware.
Depending on when you place your 2021 Caulfield Guineas futures bet, your horse may not even run but you won’t get your money back, occurring when the market is ‘All-In’ or closer to the starting date. If you are betting when it says ‘Before Noms’, you have the security of receiving your money back if your horse doesn’t run.
The 2021 Caulfield Guineas odds are already out and they are currently in ‘before noms’, meaning you’ll get a refund if your horse doesn’t nominate. Be sure to compare these prices between different bookies because, although they usually agree on a horse’s price, you may stumble across much higher odds – with an obvious higher profit involved.
The below table shows the current 2021 Caulfield Guineas odds as of mid-July, courtesy of Sportsbet:
Given what is at stake in the race, a career defining moment for these three-year-old colts, the Caulfield Guineas field is often quite large and full of extremely good talent. The $2M race brings the best three-year-old horses to Caulfield and has seen some horses go on to further success later in their campaign, including the Cox Plate and Melbourne Cup.
The final Caulfield Guineas field will be announced at the barrier draw, which is set to take place on Wednesday, October 6th.
However, with the 2021 Caulfield Guineas field yet to be determined, let’s take a look back at the 2020 field, headlined by winner Ole Kirk:
|1. Tagaloa (56.5kg)||3||Craig Williams||T Busuttin & N Young|
|2. King’s Legacy (56.5kg)||12||Hugh Bowman||P & P Snowden|
|3. Ole Kirk (56.5kg)||7||William Pike||M, W & J Hawkes|
|4. Mamaragan (56.5kg)||13||Michael Rodd||John Thompson|
|5. Glenfiddich (56.5kg)||8||Luke Nolen||Peter G Moody|
|6. Crosshaven (56.5kg)||15||Daniel Stackhouse||T Dabernig & B Hayes|
|7. Amish Boy (56.5kg)||1||Jye McNeil||C Maher & D Eustace|
|8. Lunar Fox (56.5kg)||4||Brett Prebble||Paul Preusker|
|9. Mo’unga (NZ) (56.5kg)||11||Damien Oliver||Chris Waller|
|10. Aysar (56.5kg)||14||Damian Lane||T Dabernig & B Hayes|
|11. Cambourne (56.5kg)||10||Mark Zahra||M Price & M Kent (Jnr)|
|12. National Choice (56.5kg)||5||Craig Newitt||M Price & M Kent (Jnr)|
|13. Grandslam (56.5kg)||6||John Allen||C Maher & D Eustace|
|14. Poland (56.5kg)||9||Jordan Childs||Michael Moroney|
|15. Captain Corelli (NZ) (56.5kg)||2||Michael Dee||M Price & M Kent (Jnr)|
With the race yet to be run, we still don’t know what the Caulfield Guineas results for 2021 will be! However, check back in after the race and we will have all of the information on how the big race went and what the results are.
Looking back at the 2020 race, Ole Kirk came from behind midfield to peel wide and storm over the top of both Aysar and Grandslam. From barrier seven, William Pike decided to take her back in the field and find cover, something he is very good at doing.
Ole Kirk found himself 8th with 800m to go, in the fourth pair on the rails and had to put in a heap of work to get on the outside. However, he was obviously the class horse in the field as he powered to the line to finish 0.4 lengths ahead of Aysar.
Aysar was actually one pair ahead of Ole Kirk and had the luxury of being off the fence, with clear air on his outside. He seemed to have the perfect run and had the ability to follow wide going into the straight, however he gave a perfect run for Ole Kirk behind him and wasn’t able to hold on in the finish.
Grandslam, who finished 2.4 lengths back from the winner in third, took a different tactic and led at a blistering pace. He was ahead by multiple lengths entering the straight but had nothing left in the tank, getting overtaken by Aysar and Ole Kirk while just managing to hold off Crosshaven.
You’ve read the words, now watch the video! Have a squiz below at the 2020 Caulfield Guineas race:
Here are the full results from the Caulfield Guineas in 2020:
|1st||3. Ole Kirk (56.5kg)||William Pike||–|
|2nd||10. Aysar (56.5kg)||Damian Lane||0.4L|
|3rd||13. Grandslam (56.5kg)||John Allen||2.4L|
|4th||6. Crosshaven (56.5kg)||Daniel Stackhouse||2.8L|
|5th||8. Lunar Fox (56.5kg)||Brett Prebble||3.55L|
|6th||7. Amish Boy (56.5kg)||Jye McNeil||3.75L|
|7th||9. Mo’unga (NZ) (56.5kg)||Damien Oliver||4.75L|
|8th||15. Captain Corelli (NZ) (56.5kg)||Michael Dee||5.5L|
|9th||2. King’s Legacy (56.5kg)||Hugh Bowman||5.7L|
|10th||11. Cambourne (56.5kg)||Mark Zahra||7.2L|
|11th||14. Poland (56.5kg)||Jordan Childs||9.95L|
|12th||12. National Choice (56.5kg)||Craig Newitt||11.2L|
|13th||4. Mamaragan (56.5kg)||Michael Rodd||14.95L|
|14th||1. Tagaloa (56.5kg)||Craig Williams||18.45L|
The results for the upcoming Caulfield Guineas are not yet available, but in the meantime, you can have a look below at all the recent past winners:
|2019||Super Seth||Alligator Blood||Groundswell|
|2018||The Autumn Sun||Vassilator||Oohood|
|2016||Divine Prophet||Seaburge||Hey Doc|
|2015||Press Statement||Lizard Island||Ready For Victory|
|2014||Shooting To Win||Rich Enuff||Wandjina|
|2013||Long John||Divine Calling||Shamus Award|
|2012||All Too Hard||Pierro||Epaulette|
|2010||Anacheeva||Run For Levi||Masquerader|