September 12: 6 Must Watch Horses on 2020 Makybe Diva Stakes Day

A massive day of racing at headquarters, with the Group 1 2020 Makybe Diva Stakes (1600m) the headline event, as well as the 2020 Exford Plate (1400m), 2020 Bobbie Lewis Quality (1200m), the 2020 Let’s Elope Stakes (1400m), and the 2020 Danehill Stakes (1200m) the other major events on the card.

The rail is in the true with a predicted Good 4 surface, though there are expected showers in the afternoon on Saturday, which could see the track be downgraded to a Soft 5 or Soft 6, so keep an eye out on the day and adjust.

Flemington usually plays fairly with the rail in the true, so runners should have a chance from anywhere in the field.

Let’s take a look at some of the better betting opportunities throughout the day.

Race 2 – Exford Plate – 1400m

I want to be with Immortal Love here, after a super impressive win in the Group 3 McNeil Stakes last start. He sat back and hit the line strongly, though does have the tactical speed to be ridden more positively, which is a big plus. Looks one of the main contenders for the 2020 Caulfield Guineas, and I’m keen to back him here.

Has already moved in from $4.60 to $3.80, and may start shorter on the day.

I want to watch Cherry Tortoni first up, who won at this track over the mile during the winter in the listed Taj Rossi Final, but think he may be looking for further than the 1400m here.

Verdict: I’m backing Immortal Love at $3.80.

Horse Win Place
1 Immortal Love (6)J: Craig Newitt 58.5kg T: M Price & M Kent Jnr $3.70 $1.55

 

Watch: Immortal Love fly home to take out the McNeil Stakes last start.

Race 3 – Let’s Elope Stakes – 1400m

Arcadia Queen is the class runner here and at her best she should make a mess of this field. She’s had injury worries since her taxing run in the Golden Eagle, but I’m backing her in at the price against Savatiano. Footage of her working last week looked positive, and I’m banking on a return to form here.

Verdict: I’m backing Arcadia Queen at $3.30.

Horse Win Place
1 Arcadia Queen (12)J: William Pike 58kg T: G & A Williams $3.20 $1.40

Watch: Arcadia Queen blow out the cobwebs last week in a jump out.

Race 4 – Bobbie Lewis Quality – 1200m

This is a tough one with a number of talented sprinters, including Tofane, Zoutori, The Inevitable, Dollar For Dollar, and Bold Star.

The value in the market here is with Tony McEvoy’s Dollar For Dollar for mine, with $15/$4 very good each way odds for a sprinter of his quality.

Verdict: Dollar For Dollar each way at $15/$4.

Horse Win Place
5 Dollar For Dollar (5)J: Luke Currie 55kg T: T & C Mcevoy $14.00 $3.60

Race 6 – The Sofitel – 1400m

Windstorm is a very impressive galloper from the Bob Peters yard and I don’t want to be against him on Saturday, though the price is very skinny and not something I’m keen to dive into.

I’ve looked for some value in the market and found it with Bumper Blast, who looks a good enough price for an each way play if you can forgive its last start where it was flat second up.

Verdict: Wouldn’t talk you out of backing Windstorm at $2.15, but I’ll be taking Bumper Blast each way at $9.50/$2.60.

Horse Win Place
11 Bumper Blast (10)J: Craig Williams 56kg T: Robert Hickmott $9.00 $2.70

Watch: Bumper Blast get the job done in its last start at Flemington.

Race 7 – Makybe Diva Stakes – 1600m

Click here for a full runner-by-runner analysis and tips for the Group 1 feature event.

 

*Odds correct as of 1.15pm Friday.

Author: Will Guest

From Muswellbrook to the Melbourne Cup, Will is mad about all things racing and sport. Spent countless hours in the backyard as a child pretending to be Glenn McGrath, and has been known to get deadly late swing with a taped tennis ball.

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